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Prop Bets: Luana Santos VS Melissa Croden 2025-12-13

Prediction: Luana Santos vs. Melissa Croden – A "Rousey- Inspired Romp?

Key Stats & Odds:
- H2H Implied Probabilities: Luana Santos (57.5-58.8%) vs. Melissa Croden (46.2-48.4%).
- Spreads: Santos (-3.5 rounds, +265) vs. Croden (+3.5, -144).
- Totals: Over 2.5 rounds (72-73% implied) vs. Under (29-34%).

Player Props to Watch:
- Round of Finish: Over 2.5 rounds is a near-lock, per the odds.
- Method of Victory: No props listed, but the totals line suggests a fast finish (likely via strike or submission).

Humorous Take:
Luana Santos enters this bout with the confidence of someone who recently sparring-session-dreamed with Ronda Rousey—albeit nervously, per her "I love you" meltdown. But let’s not confuse emotional vulnerability with in-cage ineptitude. Santos’ 1.71-1.75 odds (depending on bookie) suggest she’s the consensus pick, while Croden’s 2.14-2.18 line implies she’ll need a three-round endurance test to shock the world.

The -3.5 spread on Santos is the real kicker here. Bookmakers essentially handed her a 4-round head start, which is generous even for a fighter who’s presumably not named Manel Kape (main event star, actual chaos magnet). Meanwhile, the Over 2.5 rounds line (-700 to -720) is a statistical trainwreck waiting to happen. If this fight goes the distance, I’ll eat my hat… and my belief in the sport of MMA.

Verdict: Santos in a walk, Croden’s Under 2.5 rounds betters cash in on the collective yawn. Ronda Rousey, take notes—this isn’t your legacy’s sparring session.

Created: Dec. 13, 2025, 9:25 p.m. GMT