Prop Bets: Marcos Giron VS Benjamin Bonzi 2025-08-27
Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs. Marcos Giron – US Open 2025
When: August 27, 2025 | Time: 5:00 PM ET | Where: Arthur Ashe Stadium (probably not, but if the US Open had a “probably not” policy)
The Matchup:
Benjamin Bonzi (#51) vs. Marcos Giron (#55). Two men with rankings that make a middle-schooler’s GPA look impressive. Bonzi, the “I-just-killed-Daniil-Medvedev-in-a-five-set-epic” underdog, faces Giron, who’s probably thinking, “Wait, I’m the underdog here?”
The Odds:
- Bonzi: -111 (implied probability: 52.6%)
- Giron: +107 (implied probability: 49.1%)
- Total Games Line: 39.5 (Over/Under: ~1.87 odds)
Why Bonzi Will Win (Probably):
Bonzi’s recent five-set demolition of former world No. 1 Daniil Medvedev has him riding a confidence high that could power a small city. Giron, meanwhile, has the ATP rankings to match Bonzi’s but lacks the “just-upset-a-legend” magic. Bonzi’s implied probability edges him out as a slight favorite, which in tennis terms means he’ll win unless Giron invents a time machine to replay every missed forehand.
Why Giron Might Win (Surprisingly):
Giron’s ATP ranking (55) is higher than his Instagram followers (probably). He’s also got the spread (-0.5) at 1.87 odds, suggesting bookmakers think he can at least appear competitive. If Giron serves like he’s unloading a toolbox and returns like he’s playing a video game on caffeine, this could get weird.
The Total Games Prop:
The line sits at 39.5 games, which is tennis code for “expect a five-set thriller unless someone naps.” With Bonzi’s recent marathon win and Giron’s aggressive baseline style, over 39.5 games (+120 value at some books) feels like a safe bet. These two will play like they’re in a tennis version of Rocky 4.
Final Verdict:
Bonzi in three sets, but only because Giron will waste a set arguing with the umpire about “advantage rules.”
Bet: Bonzi (-111) | Alternate Pick: Over 39.5 games (+120)
Do Not Bet: Giron’s Instagram followers (they’re imaginary).
Note: This prediction is not financial advice. If you bet on Giron’s Instagram followers, you’re on your own. 🎾💸
Created: Aug. 27, 2025, 1:10 p.m. GMT