Prop Bets: Marta Kostyuk VS Zeynep Sonmez 2025-08-28
Marta Kostyuk vs. Zeynep Sonmez: A Wimpy Wimbledon Warm-Up?
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a tennis spectacle so lopsided, it’s practically a one-woman show! On August 28 at 19:30 Kyiv time, Ukrainian WTA-28 Marta Kostyuk (the sole Ukrainian survivor in the US Open’s second round) faces Turkish WTA-81 Zeynep Sonmez (19-19 this season, which is about as reliable as a weather forecast in August).
Why Kostyuk Will Win (And Why You Should Bet on Her, Obviously):
- Head-to-Head: Kostyuk’s 6-3, 6-3 victory over Sonmez in Doha 2023? A warm-up act compared to this.
- Odds: Bookmakers are so confident in Kostyuk they’re giving her -5.5 game spreads at 1.87 odds (Fanatics). Bet on Sonmez to cover, and you’ll need a time machine to refund your confidence.
- Implied Probabilities: Kostyuk’s H2H odds (1.2–1.25 across sites) translate to 83–89% implied chances. That’s not a bet—it’s a guarantee with a 12% vigorish.
- Injury Drama: Kostyuk’s wrist issues? She’s here, serving aces, and dodging medical timeouts like a tennis ninja.
The Underdog’s Case (For Science!):
Sonmez’s 19-19 season record is as balanced as a toddler on a unicycle, but her 4.0–4.6 odds (DraftKings, BetRivers) make her the “risky” pick. If you must bet on her, take the +5.5 game spread at 1.7–2.1 odds—it’s the only way to stay in the game.
Totals: A Grand Slam of Boredom?
The Over/Under is 19.5–20.5 games (Bovada, BetOnline.ag). Bet the Under at 1.8–1.91 odds—Kostyuk’s dominance suggests this won’t be a “sensational” three-set thriller.
Final Verdict:
Kostyuk’s a -1100 favorite in Vegas terms (if you convert those 1.2 odds). Sonmez’s only chance? Tripping Kostyuk with a sneaky drop shot while she’s mid-monologue about her wrist. But honestly, bet the Under 20.5 games and save your energy for the real matches.
Prediction: Kostyuk wins 6-2, 6-3, cashes your bets, and leaves Sonmez wondering if “Grand Slam” is a tennis term or a metaphor for her bank account.
Created: Aug. 28, 2025, 4:36 p.m. GMT