Prop Bets: Memphis Grizzlies VS Dallas Mavericks 2026-02-27
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: A High-Scoring Shootout with Props to Match
The Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks are set for a February 28 showdown that promises to be as chaotic as a toddler’s art class. With both teams averaging 118 points per game and the OVER 238.5 total priced at even money (-115/-115), this game is a statistical firework waiting to happen. The Mavericks, despite being home favorites (-4.5), have a defense that’s leakier than a sieve (allowing 118 PPG), while the Grizzlies’ road struggles (9-18 SU) make them the perfect punchline for a high-scoring gag.
Why the OVER?
Forget the spread—this is a points party. Memphis has gone OVER in four straight games, and Dallas in three. With the Mavs’ porous defense and the Grizzlies’ emerging stars like G.G. Jackson (17.4 PPG, 5.5 RPG) and Walter Clayton Jr. (9.5 PPG), expect a shootout. The implied total of 119 points per team is laughably achievable.
Player Props to Bet Against (and Why):
- Cam Spencer (-115 to score >9.5 points): This guy’s shot from three is colder than a snowman’s heart. With a 1.5/18.0 three-pointers in six games post-All-Star break, bet the UNDER.
- G.G. Jackson (-115 for >22.5 P/R): He’s averaging 16.5 PPG and 5.5 RPG, but 22.5? That’s like asking a toddler to tie their shoes—optimistic, but doomed.
- Walter Clayton Jr. (-115 for >9.5 points): His 9.5 PPG average is a mirage. Bet the UNDER and watch him fizzle.
The Real Winner? The Bookmakers.
With the OVER/UNDER at 238.5 and both teams’ offenses as greedy as a buffet line, this game is a surefire way to test your patience (and your wallet). The Mavericks’ home-court advantage? A myth. They’re 14-17 at home, and the Grizzlies’ first-half dominance (10-2 ATS in first halves) could make this a second-half collapse for Dallas.
Final Verdict:
Take the OVER 238.5 (-115) and laugh all the way to the bank. And if you must bet on players, avoid Cam Spencer like he’s your ex’s bad poker face.
“It’s not a game—it’s a math problem with a side of chaos.” 🏀🔥
Created: Feb. 27, 2026, 11:07 p.m. GMT