Prop Bets: Memphis Grizzlies VS Minnesota Timberwolves 2025-12-17
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: A Prop Bet-Fueled Showdown
The Memphis Grizzlies (-120) are underdogs against the Minnesota Timberwolves (-110) in a game that’s as much about props as it is about basketball. With the spread at Grizzlies +7.5 and the total at 230.5, this is a classic "underdog tries to shock the house" scenario. But let’s not forget: the Grizzlies are missing Zach Edey and have a 5-11 record as underdogs this season. They’ll need Ja Morant to channel his inner magician (or maybe just his inner Ja Morant) to cover.
Key Stats & Props to Watch
1. Jaren Jackson Jr. UNDER 5.5 Rebounds (-155):
JJJ’s averaging 5.0 boards per game, and the Wolves’ frontcourt (led by Rudy Gobert) is a brick wall. Bet the UNDER—this isn’t a game where he’ll be grabbing 10.
- Anthony Edwards OVER 3.5 Three-Pointers (+118):
Edwards is questionable with a foot injury, but if he plays, he’s a 4.0 3PT/game machine. The Wolves’ porous defense (22nd in opponent 3PT%) makes this a no-brainer.
- The Spread: Grizzlies +7.5 (-120):
Memphis’ net rating (+4.7) over their last 10 games as underdogs gives them a fighting chance. But can they survive without Edey? Probably not. Still, the spread is juicy enough to tempt the bold.
Implied Probabilities
- Timberwolves to cover (-110): 52.4% implied probability.
- Grizzlies to cover (-120): 54.5% implied probability.
- Total (230.5): 50/50.
Final Verdict
The Wolves are favored for a reason—Gobert, Edwards, and a 9-4 home record. But the Grizzlies’ recent "underdog magic" (7-10 ATS in their last 10) and the Jaren Jackson Jr. rebound under make this a prop-heavy pick. Bet the UNDER on JJJ and the OVER on Edwards’ threes. And if you’re feeling spicy, take Memphis +7.5. Just don’t blame me when they lose by 20.
Prediction: Wolves win, but Grizzlies cover the spread. It’s a 115-112 upset… in the props column. 🏀💸
Created: Dec. 17, 2025, 6:35 p.m. GMT