Prop Bets: Memphis Grizzlies VS Sacramento Kings 2025-11-30

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings: A Predictable Party at the Podium

The Memphis Grizzlies (-3.5) are rolling into Sacramento like a well-oiled Jaren Jackson Jr. block—unstoppable and slightly terrifying. With an 8-12 record but a four-game winning streak (including a 112-107 road thrashing of the Clippers), the Grizzlies are the NBA’s version of a “get well soon” card for the Kings’ struggling offense. The Kings, at 5-15, have lost five of their last six, including a 128-119 shellacking by the Jazz. If this game were a meme, it’d be “Kings’ hopes and dreams crumbling like a dunked-on cookie.”

The Numbers That Make You Sigh:
- Memphis’ Implied Win Probability: 60% (per -158 moneyline odds).
- Sacramento’s Implied Win Probability: 42.7% (per +134 odds).
- Total Points Line: 233.5 (Over/Under: 1.91/1.91). Given these teams’ recent games, “over” feels like betting on a dunk contest—inevitable.

Player Props Worth Your Hard-Earned Cash:
- Jaren Jackson Jr. (Over 22.5 Points, -110): The Grizzlies’ tower of power is averaging 18.6 PPG. He’ll need just one more point than a toddler’s tantrum to hit the over.
- Zach LaVine (Over 20.5 Points, -114): The Kings’ defense is like a sieve. LaVine’s 20.8 PPG average? A rounding error waiting to happen.
- Santi Aldama (Over 12.5 Points, -114): The rookie’s scoring like he’s playing “NBA 2K” on easy mode. Over 12.5? Please.

Why the Kings Might Win:
They’d need a 128-point performance from Keegan Murray (currently averaging 17.5 PPG) and a miracle from De’Aaron Fox (who’s MIA due to injury). Spoiler: They won’t.

Final Prediction:
Memphis 120, Sacramento 108. The Kings will likely shoot like they’re playing H-O-R-S-E with a broken hoop. Bet the Grizzlies’ spread (-3.5) and Jaren Jackson’s points over 22.5. And for the love of all that is holy, don’t bet on Sacramento’s “Over 233.5 total points”—it’s like betting on a snowstorm in the Sahara.

“This game isn’t close. It’s like dating someone who only texts you emojis. Underwhelming and full of cryptic hope.” 🏀🔥

Created: Nov. 30, 2025, 4:27 p.m. GMT