Prop Bets: Memphis Grizzlies VS San Antonio Spurs 2025-11-18
Grizzlies vs. Spurs: A Defensive Masterclass or a Scoring Drought?
The Memphis Grizzlies (4-10) and San Antonio Spurs (9-4) square off in a mismatch made in injury heaven. The Grizzlies, missing Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., and four other rotation players, rank 29th in effective field goal percentage and 26th in points per game. The Spurs, meanwhile, are a defensive fortress, 5th in defensive rating. With both teams’ top scorers sidelined (Victor Wembanyama, De’Aaron Fox, etc.), this is a prime candidate for the UNDER 232.5 total (-105)—a game where scoring will feel slower than a dial-up internet connection.
Why the UNDER?
- Memphis’ offense is a leaky faucet (25th in PPG).
- San Antonio’s defense is a brick wall (5th in defensive rating).
- The model says UNDER 60% of simulations.
Player Props to Punt (or Avoid):
1. Keldon Johnson OVER 13.5 points (-113): KJ30 is averaging 13.5 PPG, but with Morant and JJJ out, his scoring will likely dip. Bet the UNDER—he’ll shoot like a man with a broken slingshot.
2. De’Aaron Fox OVER 8.5 assists (-143): Fox is a playmaker, but with Wembanyama out, his assist targets vanish. Go UNDER—his dimes will be fewer than a broke college student’s dating life.
Final Verdict:
Take the San Antonio Spurs -5.5 (-115) and the UNDER 232.5 (-105). It’s a game where the Spurs’ defense will stifle Memphis’ already anemic offense, and the Grizzlies will shoot like they’re using a 1990s basketball.
Bonus Prop: Luke Kornet OVER 8.5 rebounds (-111): With Wembanyama out, the 38-year-old Kornet will dominate the glass like it’s his last chance at relevance.
In conclusion, this game is less “Showtime” and more “Show… and then a long pause.” 🏀💤
Created: Nov. 18, 2025, 10:10 p.m. GMT