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Prop Bets: Miami Dolphins VS Pittsburgh Steelers 2025-12-15

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Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: A Frosty Feast of Props and Punts
The Miami Dolphins, fresh off a four-game winning streak, roll into Pittsburgh’s frigid cavern (19°F, baby!) to face the Steelers in a playoff-preview pizzazz. The Dolphins are 2.5-point underdogs (-130 on the moneyline, per DraftKings), while the Steelers (-3.0) are favored to stomp their way to a 42.5-point total (even odds on the over/under). Let’s break this down with the precision of a QB rating…

Key Props to Bet Your Grandma’s Christmas Cookies On
1. De’Von Achane: The Touchdown Tornado
- Anytime TD: -130 (BetMGM).
- Rushing Yards Over 79.5: -115 (DraftKings).
The Dolphins’ RB has scored 11 total TDs this season (7 rushing, 4 receiving) and averaged 92 rushing yards over his last four games. Pittsburgh has allowed 80+ rushing yards to RBs in four of five games. Cold weather? Perfect for Miami’s run-heavy attack. Bet Achane to score like it’s Black Friday sales.

  1. Darren Waller: The ā€œOne-on-Oneā€ Wall of Fame
    - Over 2.5 Receptions: -110 (BetRivers).
    Waller’s a PFF-certified one-on-one wizard, and Pittsburgh’s man-coverage tendencies (and high blitz rate) play right into his hands. Projected for 2.7–3.3 catches? Take the over like it’s your ex’s last chance to apologize.

  1. Kenneth Gainwell: The 21-Yard Whisperer
    - Over 21.5 Receiving Yards: -110 (BetOnline.ag).
    Gainwell has eclipsed 20 receiving yards in four straight games. With Tua Tagovailoa targeting him and Pittsburgh’s secondary shivering in the cold, this prop’s as safe as a snowman in a blizzard.

Why the Steelers Might Win
They’re favored for a reason (-3.0 at -110 odds), and their defense has stifled elite RBs (Derrick Henry, Keaton Mitchell). But Miami’s rushing attack (2nd in EPA per play since Week 10) and the brutal cold could turn this into a ground-and-pound grudge match.

Final Prediction
The Dolphins will likely win this game via a combination of Achane’s touchdowns and the Steelers’ QB (probably Kenny Pickett) fumbling from frostbite. Take Miami +3.0 (-110) and pair it with Achane’s anytime TD (-130). If you’re feeling spicy, grab the under 42.5 total (even odds) — cold weather = fewer bombs, more punts.

Remember: Betting is like a snow globe. Shake it hard, hope for the best, and don’t cry when it melts. ā„ļøšŸˆ

Created: Dec. 15, 2025, 8:56 p.m. GMT