Prop Bets: Miami Dolphins VS Pittsburgh Steelers 2025-12-15
Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: A Frosty Feast of Props and Punts
The Miami Dolphins, fresh off a four-game winning streak, roll into Pittsburghās frigid cavern (19°F, baby!) to face the Steelers in a playoff-preview pizzazz. The Dolphins are 2.5-point underdogs (-130 on the moneyline, per DraftKings), while the Steelers (-3.0) are favored to stomp their way to a 42.5-point total (even odds on the over/under). Letās break this down with the precision of a QB ratingā¦
Key Props to Bet Your Grandmaās Christmas Cookies On
1. DeāVon Achane: The Touchdown Tornado
- Anytime TD: -130 (BetMGM).
- Rushing Yards Over 79.5: -115 (DraftKings).
The Dolphinsā RB has scored 11 total TDs this season (7 rushing, 4 receiving) and averaged 92 rushing yards over his last four games. Pittsburgh has allowed 80+ rushing yards to RBs in four of five games. Cold weather? Perfect for Miamiās run-heavy attack. Bet Achane to score like itās Black Friday sales.
- Darren Waller: The āOne-on-Oneā Wall of Fame
- Over 2.5 Receptions: -110 (BetRivers).
Wallerās a PFF-certified one-on-one wizard, and Pittsburghās man-coverage tendencies (and high blitz rate) play right into his hands. Projected for 2.7ā3.3 catches? Take the over like itās your exās last chance to apologize.
- Kenneth Gainwell: The 21-Yard Whisperer
- Over 21.5 Receiving Yards: -110 (BetOnline.ag).
Gainwell has eclipsed 20 receiving yards in four straight games. With Tua Tagovailoa targeting him and Pittsburghās secondary shivering in the cold, this propās as safe as a snowman in a blizzard.
Why the Steelers Might Win
Theyāre favored for a reason (-3.0 at -110 odds), and their defense has stifled elite RBs (Derrick Henry, Keaton Mitchell). But Miamiās rushing attack (2nd in EPA per play since Week 10) and the brutal cold could turn this into a ground-and-pound grudge match.
Final Prediction
The Dolphins will likely win this game via a combination of Achaneās touchdowns and the Steelersā QB (probably Kenny Pickett) fumbling from frostbite. Take Miami +3.0 (-110) and pair it with Achaneās anytime TD (-130). If youāre feeling spicy, grab the under 42.5 total (even odds) ā cold weather = fewer bombs, more punts.
Remember: Betting is like a snow globe. Shake it hard, hope for the best, and donāt cry when it melts. āļøš
Created: Dec. 15, 2025, 8:56 p.m. GMT