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Prop Bets: Miami Marlins VS Milwaukee Brewers 2025-07-27

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Brewers vs. Marlins: A "Chourio" Good Time for Milwaukee, a "Perez" of Bad Luck for Miami

The Milwaukee Brewers (-185) are here to remind the Miami Marlins (48.3% win rate as underdogs) that July is for hitting streaks, not heartburn. With Jackson Chourio’s 8-game hitting streak and the Brewers’ 77.8% win rate as favorites, this looks like a 65.2% implied probability (based on -185 odds) of a Milwaukee romp. The Marlins? They’re 19th in scoring (4.1 R/G) and 24th in strikeouts allowed (7.9 K/9). Yikes.

Key Stats to Savor:
- Brewers’ Offense: 8th in MLB (4.8 R/G).
- Marlins’ Pitching: 24th in K/9.
- Woodruff vs. Perez: Brandon Woodruff’s ER-Under 1.5 prop (-125) is a steal. Perez? His "Yes" prop is +340. Not a great matchup.

Prop Bets to Swat a Homer On:
- Jackson Chourio O/U 0.5 Hits: -215. He’s hitting .333 this month. Take the over.
- Christian Yelich HR O/U 0.5: +1000. Let’s be real—this is a long shot (pun intended).
- Woodruff Strikeouts O/U 6.5: -160. With his 8.8 K/9, this feels like a sure thing.

Prediction: The Brewers’ bats will feast on Miami’s shaky pitching, and Woodruff will pitch like a man with a 77.8% win rate when favored. Final score? Brewers 6, Marlins 2. And don’t @ me.

“Chourio, Chourio, Chourio—this is a hitting streak, not a grocery list!” 🍕⚾

Created: July 27, 2025, 7:43 a.m. GMT