Prop Bets: Miami Marlins VS St. Louis Cardinals 2025-07-28

Cardinals vs. Marlins: A Tale of Two Fish Sticks
The St. Louis Cardinals (-123) and Miami Marlins (+103) clash on July 28, 2025, in what might be the most statistically balanced mismatch of the season. Let’s break it down with the precision of a spreadsheet and the humor of a ballpark hot dog vendor.

The Numbers, Please:
- Cardinals: 54-52, 13th in runs (474), favored in 27 of 49 games.
- Marlins: 50-53, 19th in runs (443), but shockingly 44-46 as underdogs.
- Starter Showdown: Andre Pallante (Cardinals) vs. Edward Cabrera (Marlins). Pallante’s Over 3.5 K prop is -142 (implied 58.8% chance), while Cabrera’s Over 4.5 K prop is -110 (52.4% chance).

Key Players to Watch:
- Cardinals: Brendan Donovan (.290 BA) and Nolan Arenado (-800 to hit a HR).
- Marlins: Kyle Stowers (.298 BA) and Agustín Ramírez (Over 0.5 HR at +560, or 15.4% chance).

Prop Bets to Mock:
- Victor Scott II (Marlins) has +265 odds to steal a base. Bet on him if you enjoy watching miracles.
- Arenado’s HR prop (-800) is a sure thing. Book it if you’re betting on a coin flip with a 20% vig.
- Ramírez’s HR prop (+560) is like betting on a snowball in July—possible, but not advisable.

The Total:
The Over/Under is 8.5 runs. With the Cardinals’ 474 runs and the Marlins’ 443, this feels like a “low-scoring thriller” (read: a snoozefest). The Over is 50% implied, the Under 54.6%—vig included, of course.

Prediction:
The Cardinals will win, but not because they’re good. They’ll win because the Marlins’ offense looks like a spreadsheet error. Expect Pallante to strike out 4, Arenado to hit a HR (-800, obviously), and Agustín Ramírez to remind us why +560 props exist: to let you dream.

Final Score: 5-3 Cardinals. The Marlins will thank you later. 🐟⚾️

Created: July 28, 2025, 2:14 a.m. GMT