Prop Bets: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders VS Delaware Blue Hens 2025-10-22

Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee: A Comedy of Errors or a Blue Hens Feast?

The Delaware Blue Hens (-9.5, implied probability: ~59.5% via -150 odds) host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in a Conference USA clash that’s less “game” and more “math problem.” Let’s break it down with the precision of a QB rating calculator.

Key Stats to Know:
- Delaware’s Nick Minicucci is a dual-threat menace: 1,801 passing yards (9 TDs, 3 INTs) and 141 rushing yards (7 TDs). He’s the reason Delaware’s passing offense ranks 10th in FBS (300.5 YPG).
- MTSU’s Nicholas Vattiato completes 61.1% of his passes (1,392 YPG, 8 TDs) but faces a Delaware defense that allows 226.3 passing YPG (76th). His top target, Nahzae Cox (353 yards, 4 TDs), will test a Blue Hens secondary that’s 99th in scoring defense (28.3 PPG).
- Turnover Margins Matter: Delaware has a +2 turnover margin in wins; MTSU’s -3. The Blue Hens’ edge here could be the difference between a rout and a “wait, this isn’t close.”

Odds & Implied Probabilities (via Decimal Conversion):
- Moneyline: Delaware (-350, ~77.8% implied) vs. MTSU (+250, ~28.6% implied).
- Spread: Delaware -9.5 (implied ~51.3% via -150 odds) vs. MTSU +9.5 (48.7%).
- Total: 55.5 points. The Over is favored by the model (projected 56 PPG), with mixed bookmaker lines (1.91–1.95 for Over/Under).

Player Props to Bet on (from Context):
- Nick Minicucci Over 2.5 Rushing TDs: He’s already got 7 on the season. At +200 odds, this is a “why-are-you-asking” bet.
- Nahzae Cox Over 5.5 Receptions: Cox has 28 in 6 games. At +150, it’s a “he’ll catch 5 in the first quarter” play.
- MTSU Under 17.5 Points: The Blue Raiders average 17.0 PPG (8th-worst). Unless Vattiato invents a time machine to fix his red-zone IQ, this is a lock.

Final Verdict:
Delaware’s passing attack vs. MTSU’s porous defense = a 58-34 Hens romp. Take the Over (55.5) and side with Delaware (-9.5) unless you enjoy watching a team with the offensive firepower of a middle-school robotics team.

Prediction: Delaware 31, MTSU 14. The Blue Hens feast, Minicucci dances, and the Raiders’ offense goes “to 11”… which is still less than Delaware’s 28.8 PPG average. 🏈

Created: Oct. 22, 2025, 1:51 p.m. GMT