Prop Bets: Milwaukee Brewers VS Los Angeles Dodgers 2025-07-19
Brewers vs. Dodgers: A Tale of Two Teams, One Unlikely Underdog
July 20, 2025 — 1:11 AM ET
The Setup:
The Milwaukee Brewers (-115 underdogs) are here to remind the Los Angeles Dodgers (134 favorites) that July is for upsets, not naptime. Despite the Dodgers’ 58-39 record and NL-leading swagger, the Brewers have a 4-0 series edge this season and a 48.9% win rate as underdogs. Freddy Peralta, the Brewers’ ace, will start for Milwaukee after tossing six scoreless innings against these same Dodgers just weeks ago. Meanwhile, Emmet Sheehan, LAD’s starter, has struck out fewer than five batters in 70% of his starts this year.
The Numbers That Make Me Laugh:
- Peralta’s Prop: The Brewers’ pitcher is -110 to strike out 5.5+ batters. Sheehan? He’s -110 to allow 4.5+ hits. Translation: Peralta’s got game; Sheehan’s got… questions.
- Team ERAs: The Brewers’ 3.67 team ERA vs. the Dodgers’ 4.20. The Dodgers’ offense (5.3 runs/game) might as well be playing a different sport against this Brewers’ bullpen.
- Plate Discipline: Milwaukee’s 17.3% strikeout rate vs. LAD’s 20.1%. The Brewers will nibble; the Dodgers will whiff.
The Pick:
Brewers +115 to pull off the shocker. Peralta’s six-inning shutout performance last month? A teaser compared to what’s coming. Bet the Brewers’ .682 OPS (6th in MLB) on Sheehan’s shaky stuff.
Prop Bets to Steal:
- Christian Yelich (-185) to hit a home run. He’s a .320 hitter against LAD this season.
- Shohei Ohtani (-200) to steal a base. Even with a 50% chance, his speed is a joke.
- Sheehan’s Hits Allowed Over 4.5 (-110). He’s allowed 4+ hits in 8 of 9 starts.
Final Score Prediction:
Milwaukee 4, Los Angeles 2. The Brewers’ bats will feast on Sheehan’s wildness, and Peralta will pitch like he’s been waiting for this moment all summer. The Dodgers? They’ll be the ones needing a wake-up call.
“The only thing hotter than the Brewers’ offense is the Dodgers’ bullpen. And even that’s debatable.” 🔥⚾
Created: July 19, 2025, 11:38 p.m. GMT