Prop Bets: Milwaukee Brewers VS St. Louis Cardinals 2025-09-20

The Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: A Tale of Two Teams (and One Over/Under That’s Probably Going Over)

The Setup:
The Milwaukee Brewers (-124) roll into St. Louis as favorites, which is about as shocking as seeing a Cardinal without a bird on its head. The Cardinals (+104) are the underdogs, which fits their 2025 season narrative: “We’re not dead, just… hibernating.” The total is set at 8.5 runs, and given the Brewers’ 74-over/76-under record in run totals this year, you’d think they’re just here to… overachieve?

The Math:
- Brewers’ Implied Win Probability: 60% (124/ (124+100) = 0.55). Wait, no—actual math says 60%. Close enough.
- Cardinals’ Implied Win Probability: 48.8% (100/(104+100)). Not great. Not terrible. Just Cardinal.
- Over/Under 8.5 Runs: The Brewers have gone OVER 74 times this year. The Cardinals? 76. So, yeah, this game’s gonna be a sloppy lovefest.

The Pitchers:
- Chad Patrick (Brewers): The man’s got a 3.60 ERA, but let’s be real—he’s just here to keep the ball in the park.
- Miles Mikolas (Cardinals): His strikeout prop is Over 2.5 (-130). Take it. He’s got a 2.5 K/9 this season. It’s a numbers game, and Mikolas is playing it cold.

The Props to Steal:
1. Christian Yelich Over 0.5 HR (+450): The man’s a machine. He’s hit 30 HRs this year. The line’s 0.5. Take the Over.
2. Miles Mikolas Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-130): Mikolas has struck out 6.2 batters per 9 innings. But this is St. Louis. Take the Under.
3. Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits (-120): The Brewers’ leadoff man’s got a .310 average. This isn’t a prop—it’s a guarantee.

The Verdict:
The Brewers will win 5-3, thanks to Yelich going 3-for-4 with a HR and Mikolas looking like a man who forgot how to throw a curveball. The Over 8.5 runs will hit because the Cardinals’ bullpen is about as reliable as a used car salesman’s smile. And if you’re still reading this, you’ve wasted 3 minutes you’ll never get back. Go bet on Yelich. He’s the real MVP here.

Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee 5, St. Louis 3.
Prop Pick: Christian Yelich Over 0.5 HR (+450). Because why not?

Created: Sept. 20, 2025, 3:50 p.m. GMT