Prop Bets: Minnesota Lynx VS Las Vegas Aces 2025-09-04
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: A WNBA Showdown of Titans (and A'ja Wilson’s Slight Struggles)
The Setup:
The Minnesota Lynx (32-8) enter T-Mobile Arena as 2.5-point favorites, armed with a 3-0 series lead over the Aces (26-14) and an average margin of 32.6 points. The Lynx’s 81.1% success rate as money-line favorites? That’s not confidence—it’s arrogance. Meanwhile, the Aces are on a 12-game winning streak, but their 4-8 ATS record as underdogs suggests they’re the WNBA’s version of a “hot” stock that’s due for a crash.
The Stats That Make You Snort Coffee:
- A’ja Wilson, the Aces’ star, averages a pedestrian 12.5 points against the Lynx—half her season average. Her 22.5-point prop is a -120 over, which is basically betting she’ll score 23 points. Good luck with that.
- Courtney Williams of the Lynx is a beast: 6.3 assists per game this season. Her 6.5-assist prop is set at -130 under, which is generous given her recent triple-doubles.
- The total is 164.5, and the Lynx-Aces games average 169.7 points. If you’re betting Over, you’re basically saying, “These teams will score like it’s 2024 and the shot clock doesn’t exist.”
Key Player Props to Mock (or Bet):
- A’ja Wilson Double-Double Prop (-190 Yes): She’s a lock for rebounds, but with the Lynx’s defense? This is more of a “single-double” situation.
- Courtney Williams Assists Over 6.5 (+100): If Williams hits 7 assists, it’s a win. If she gets 6, you’re out. A high-stakes gamble for a single assist.
- Napheesa Collier Points Over 22.5 (-105): Collier’s scoring is reliable, but this line feels like the bookmakers are ignoring her recent 20-point games.
The Verdict:
The Lynx are 58% implied favorites, and the Aces’ 46.3% chance feels like a mercy offer. But let’s be real: the Aces’ 12-game streak is a house of cards. One Lynx gameplan, and poof—gone.
Prediction:
Minnesota Lynx 112, Las Vegas Aces 89. The Lynx will win by 23, A’ja Wilson will score 20 points (Under her 22.5 prop), and Courtney Williams will dish out 7 assists (Over 6.5). Bet the Over on the total—because why not? These teams play like they’re on a points-per-minute contract.
Final Joke:
The Aces’ winning streak is like a Wi-Fi signal: strong now, gone tomorrow. The Lynx? They’re the router. Stay connected. 🏀
Created: Sept. 4, 2025, 3:28 p.m. GMT