Prop Bets: Minnesota Lynx VS Seattle Storm 2025-08-05
WNBA Showdown: Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm
Date: August 6, 2025 | Time: 2:00 AM ET | Location: Seattle, WA
The Setup:
The Minnesota Lynx (24-5, 1st in the WNBA) roll into Seattle as underdogs (-142) despite leading the league in wins. The Seattle Storm (16-13, 6th) are favored at +120, thanks to their home-court advantage and the Lynx’s injury woes—Napheesa Collier is out with an ankle injury, leaving Courtney Williams to shoulder more playmaking duties. The total is set at 157.5 points, and the spread is a razor-thin 2.0 points. This is a game where every possession might matter more than a Lynx fan’s patience during a commercial break.
Key Stats & Odds:
- Implied Probabilities:
- Storm to win: 58.6% (-142)
- Lynx to win: 45.5% (+120)
- Spread: Storm -2.0 (-110), Lynx +2.0 (-110)
- Total: Over/Under 157.5 (Evens)
Player Props to Watch:
1. Nneka Ogwumike (Lynx): Over/Under 16.5 points. With Collier out, Ogwumike’s “double-double” prop (Yes at +450) is a must-watch. Will she dominate the glass or crumble under the weight of expectations?
2. Kayla McBride (Lynx): Over/Under 16.5 points. The Storm better hope she doesn’t replicate her 24-point performances from the last two games.
3. Courtney Williams (Lynx): Assists Over/Under 6.5 (-154). With Collier sidelined, Williams is the engine. Can she dish 7+ dimes without getting roasted?
4. Skylar Diggins-Smith (Storm): Assists Over/Under 5.5 (-135). The Storm’s playmaker is a -135 lock to hit 5.5+ dimes. Probably.
The Prediction:
The Storm are slight favorites for a reason: they’re at home, and the Lynx are missing their second-leading scorer. But let’s not forget—Minnesota’s been leading the league. That’s a thing. The Lynx will likely lean on Williams to carry the load, and if she can avoid turning the ball over (looking at you, 12.5 TOV line), they might pull off the upset.
As for the props: Bet Ogwumike’s double-double (+450). She’s the Lynx’s emotional leader, and with Collier out, she’ll need to be a one-woman wrecking crew. And if you’re feeling spicy, take McBride Over 16.5 points (+105). She’s been a scoring fiesta lately.
Final Score Prediction:
Seattle Storm 82, Minnesota Lynx 79. The Storm scratch out a narrow win, thanks to Sue Bird’s “I’m still here, isn’t it amazing?” magic and the Lynx’s collective inability to hit a three-pointer. Williams finishes with 18 points, 9 assists, and 2 turnovers (because it’s always 2).
TL;DR: Bet the Storm to cover the 2.0-point spread (-110) and Ogwumike’s double-double (+450). Avoid the Lynx’s “Over 157.5” total unless you enjoy financial masochism.
Created: Aug. 5, 2025, 10:59 p.m. GMT