Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves VS Portland Trail Blazers 2025-10-22
The NBA Season Opener: A Tale of Two Wolves and a Trail of Disappointment
The Portland Trail Blazers, fresh off a 36-46 season and missing Damian Lillard (traded) and key players like Scoot Henderson and Robert Williams III, host the Minnesota Timberwolves in a game that’s as lopsided as a rookie’s free-throw arc. The T’Wolves, fresh off a 49-33 campaign and bolstered by a core of Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, and a healthy Julius Randle, are -4.5-point favorites. The total is set at 221.5, and let’s be honest—it’s a math problem: Of course the Over is -108. These teams combined for 241 points in their last meeting. Last year? 241. This year? 221.5. The math checks out.
Why the Wolves Win:
- Anthony Edwards is the star, but even he’s not that hot from deep. The UNDER 3.5 three-pointers (-132) is a must-take. Remember when he went 0-for-9 against Portland last season? History repeats, apparently.
- Jrue Holiday is here to assist, literally. His Over 5.5 assists (-116) is a safe bet. He’s a playmaker, not a one-man show.
- Jrue Holiday’s triple-double prop (Over 22.5 PRA, -115) is a statistical impossibility… unless he’s having a really good day. Still, take the Over. It’s the 21st century; everyone’s a stat-stuffer now.
Why the Blazers Lose:
- They’re starting a rookie (Yang Hanshen, 8 PPG in 4 preseason games) and hope. Their “rebuild” is a dumpster fire.
- The Timberwolves’ net rating last season? +5.2. The Blazers’? -3.8. This is a numbers game, and Portland’s math is broken.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 118, Portland 109. The Wolves cover the -4.5 spread, and the Over hits because Gobert will inevitably grab 15 boards and Edwards will airball a three.
Prop Picks:
- UNDER Anthony Edwards 3.5 threes (-132).
- OVER Jrue Holiday 5.5 assists (-116).
- Jrue Holiday Over 22.5 PRA (-115).
Portland’s fans, meanwhile, will be wondering why they paid $50 for a hot dog. Enjoy the popcorn—this is the NBA’s version of Cinderella: same plot, different shoe.
Created: Oct. 22, 2025, 10:55 p.m. GMT