Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves VS Portland Trail Blazers 2026-02-24
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: A Tactical Tussle in Portland
The Minnesota Timberwolves (35-23) hit the road for a showdown with the Portland Trail Blazers (28-30), seeking redemption after a 135-108 home loss to the 76ers. The Trail Blazers, despite their 17-8 home ATS record, are a defensive enigma—ranked 28th in defensive rating but 12th in home ATS performance. With Scoot Henderson returning from injury, Portland’s offense adds intrigue, though his inconsistency (13.0 PPG, 5.2 APG) raises questions.
Key Matchup Insights
- Minnesota’s Weakness: The Wolves’ 24th-ranked defense (+1.41 defensive rating) will face a Blazers team that’s 25th in offensive efficiency.
- Portland’s Edge at Home: The Blazers are 12-8 ATS at home this season, including 6-4 ATS as home underdogs.
- Scoot Henderson’s Prop: Henderson’s 16.5-point over/under is tempting, but his 4-of-14 shooting in his last game suggests volatility.
The Pick: Trail Blazers +6.5 (-102)
The Blazers’ home-court advantage and Minnesota’s porous defense make this spread a smart play. Portland’s 17-8 home ATS record and the Wolves’ recent struggles (5-6 ATS as favorites) tilt the odds in favor of the underdogs.
Player Props to Target
1. Anthony Edwards Under 28.5 Points (-122): Edwards’ 28.5-point line feels inflated. His 28.5 PPG average drops to 21.5 in road games, and Minnesota’s 24th-ranked defense will likely contain him.
2. Jusuf Nurkic Under 20.5 Points (-115): Nurkic’s 19.5 PPG average is inflated by his 28th-ranked team’s poor defense. With Portland’s offense struggling, his scoring output could dip.
Final Verdict
While the Wolves’ star power (Edwards, D’Angelo Russell) is undeniable, their recent ATS futility (5-6) and Portland’s home dominance make the Blazers +6.5 a compelling play. For props, fade Edwards and Nurkic’s points—both teams’ defensive liabilities will keep the scoring low.
Play: Trail Blazers +6.5 (-102)
Props: Under Anthony Edwards 28.5 (-122), Under Jusuf Nurkic 20.5 (-115)
“The Wolves’ defense is a sieve, and Portland’s home magic is real. Fade the favorites.” — The Oracle of Over/Under 🏀📊
Created: Feb. 25, 2026, 12:26 a.m. GMT