Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins VS Colorado Rockies 2025-07-20
Twins vs. Rockies: A Tale of Two Pitchers and a Home Run Happy Hour
The Minnesota Twins (-150) are favored to stomp the Colorado Rockies (+130) on Sunday, and honestly, it’s not exactly a mystery why. Joe Ryan (10-5, 3.82 ERA) takes the mound for the Twins, fresh off a 16-3 record in 17 starts this season. Meanwhile, German Marquez (5.57 ERA) looks like a guy who just discovered his fastball is a slow curveball. The Rockies’ 23-74 record isn’t exactly inspiring confidence, and Marquez has allowed 122 hits in 95.1 innings—enough to fill a Jumbotron.
Why the Twins Should Win:
- Byron Buxton’s Power Surge: The Twins’ center fielder has 16 HRs against right-handed pitching this season. With Marquez on the hill, Buxton might as well bring a sledgehammer to a home run derby.
- Ryan’s Reliability: Ryan has kept runs to three or fewer in 16 of 17 starts. He’s basically the MLB version of a leaky faucet—hard to ignore.
- Rockies’ Offense: Colorado’s 3.5 runs per game are about as effective as a screensaver. They’ve scored more than three runs just 12 times this month.
Prop Bets to Watch:
1. Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265): With Marquez’s ERA (5.57) and Buxton’s righty power, this is a no-brainer. The odds imply a 27% chance Buxton goes yard, but I’d say it’s closer to 40%.
2. Joe Ryan Under 3.5 Earned Runs (-145): Ryan’s 3.82 ERA suggests he’ll keep it under control. Implied probability: 59%. Take the under—Marquez’s ERA is higher, but this is a small-sample-size game.
3. German Marquez Over 6.5 Hits Allowed (-115): Marquez has given up 7+ hits in 11 of his last 12 starts. The odds say 53% chance, but trust me, it’s 70%.
The Verdict: The Twins win 5-2. Buxton homers, Marquez looks like a guy who just lost his job, and the Rockies’ lineup goes 0-for-7 with a sac fly. Take the Twins (-1.5 run line) and enjoy the Rockies’ 27th loss in 30 games.
Final Joke: If Marquez keeps pitching like this, the Rockies might have to replace him with a sprinkler system—at least the grass would get watered.
Created: July 20, 2025, 6:59 p.m. GMT