Prop Bets: New Orleans Pelicans VS Dallas Mavericks 2025-11-05
Alright, folks, letâs talk about the epic showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and New Orleans Pelicans on November 6, 2025. Spoiler: itâs going to be a snoozefest. Why? Because Anthony Davis (Mavs) and Zion Williamson (Pelicans) are both injured, and even the popcorn is yawns its way through this one.
The Matchup: Dallas (-8.5) vs. New Orleans
The Mavericks are favored at -8.5, but letâs be realâtheyâre just a bunch of guys in purple trying to pretend theyâre not the worst offensive team in the NBA. The Pelicans? Theyâre a team that shoots like theyâre playing 3-point contests with their grandpa. Both squads rank in the bottom five in offensive efficiency, and theyâre playing on back-to-back nights. Itâs the NBA equivalent of a Monday morning staff meeting: no energy, no joy, just existential dread.
The Total: UNDER 227.5 (-112)
The implied probability here is 53%, but Iâm banking on the UNDER because:
- Dallas is 7-0 UNDER in their last 7 games (per the news).
- New Orleans is 27th in offensive rating and 29th in effective field goal percentage.
- Both teams are missing their best players (Davis and Zion), and the Mavericksâ bench includes a guy named âDaniel Gaffordâ whoâs basically a rebounding robot with zero scoring skills.
Player Props to Avoid (and One to Love)
1. Daniel Gafford O/U 1.5 Blocks (-115): Fade him. Heâs a rebounding specialist, not a rim-protector.
2. Trey Murphy III O/U 2.5 3-Pointers (-149): The Pelicansâ star is shooting 33% from deep this season. Pass.
3. P.J. Washington O/U 2.5 Assists (-152): Heâs a forward, not a point guard. This is a trap.
But hereâs a gem: P.J. Washington O/U 2.5 Assists (-152). Bet the UNDER. Washingtonâs a rebounder, not a playmaker. Heâll probably lose the ball mid-pass to a water bottle.
Final Verdict
This game is a defensive slugfest between two teams that canât shoot. Fade the hype, take the UNDER, and maybe bet on the Pelicansâ bench to set a record for most airballs in a quarter. The only highlight will be someone tripping over a loose ball and getting a technical foul.
Final Pick: UNDER 227.5 (-112)
Prop Pick: P.J. Washington UNDER 2.5 Assists (-152)
Now go enjoy the NBAâs most boring game of the year. Youâve earned it.
Created: Nov. 5, 2025, 10:43 p.m. GMT