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Prop Bets: New Orleans Pelicans VS Dallas Mavericks 2025-11-05

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Alright, folks, let’s talk about the epic showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and New Orleans Pelicans on November 6, 2025. Spoiler: it’s going to be a snoozefest. Why? Because Anthony Davis (Mavs) and Zion Williamson (Pelicans) are both injured, and even the popcorn is yawns its way through this one.

The Matchup: Dallas (-8.5) vs. New Orleans
The Mavericks are favored at -8.5, but let’s be real—they’re just a bunch of guys in purple trying to pretend they’re not the worst offensive team in the NBA. The Pelicans? They’re a team that shoots like they’re playing 3-point contests with their grandpa. Both squads rank in the bottom five in offensive efficiency, and they’re playing on back-to-back nights. It’s the NBA equivalent of a Monday morning staff meeting: no energy, no joy, just existential dread.

The Total: UNDER 227.5 (-112)
The implied probability here is 53%, but I’m banking on the UNDER because:
- Dallas is 7-0 UNDER in their last 7 games (per the news).
- New Orleans is 27th in offensive rating and 29th in effective field goal percentage.
- Both teams are missing their best players (Davis and Zion), and the Mavericks’ bench includes a guy named “Daniel Gafford” who’s basically a rebounding robot with zero scoring skills.

Player Props to Avoid (and One to Love)
1. Daniel Gafford O/U 1.5 Blocks (-115): Fade him. He’s a rebounding specialist, not a rim-protector.
2. Trey Murphy III O/U 2.5 3-Pointers (-149): The Pelicans’ star is shooting 33% from deep this season. Pass.
3. P.J. Washington O/U 2.5 Assists (-152): He’s a forward, not a point guard. This is a trap.

But here’s a gem: P.J. Washington O/U 2.5 Assists (-152). Bet the UNDER. Washington’s a rebounder, not a playmaker. He’ll probably lose the ball mid-pass to a water bottle.

Final Verdict
This game is a defensive slugfest between two teams that can’t shoot. Fade the hype, take the UNDER, and maybe bet on the Pelicans’ bench to set a record for most airballs in a quarter. The only highlight will be someone tripping over a loose ball and getting a technical foul.

Final Pick: UNDER 227.5 (-112)
Prop Pick: P.J. Washington UNDER 2.5 Assists (-152)

Now go enjoy the NBA’s most boring game of the year. You’ve earned it.

Created: Nov. 5, 2025, 10:43 p.m. GMT