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Prop Bets: New Orleans Pelicans VS Los Angeles Lakers 2025-11-30

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NBA Showdown: Pelicans vs. Lakers – A One-Sided Shootout?

The New Orleans Pelicans (3-17) are about to face the Los Angeles Lakers (14-4) in what’s shaping up to be a very lopsided affair. The Lakers are -952 on the moneyline, implying a 90.5% chance to win, while the Pelicans are +640 underdogs. Let’s break this down with the precision of a perfectly banked three.

Why the Lakers Are Favored
- LeBron James is hitting threes like they’re free throws lately. He’s made at least two threes in three of his last four games. His Over 1.5 threes prop (-140) is a near-lock, given his recent form.
- Luka Doncic is a points machine, averaging 33.5 PPG. His Over 33.5 points prop (-120) is tempting, though even that might be conservative.
- The Lakers’ defense? Not so much. They allow 36% shooting from deep (41 3PA/G), which bodes well for Pelicans’ Jeremiah Fears. The rookie has hit Over 2.5 threes (-146) in five of his last five games. Take the over on his shot-making.

Why the Pelicans Might Survive
Spoiler alert: They won’t. But for fun:
- Fears’ 36% three-pointers (3.6 3PA/G) could keep the score pretty. The Over 233.5 total (-110) is a gamble, but with both teams’ offenses firing, it’s not entirely hopeless.
- Zion Williamson’s Over 22.5 points (-115) is a Hail Mary play. He’s scoring efficiently, but the Lakers’ defense might have other ideas.

The Verdict
The Lakers are a 14.5-point favorite for a reason. Their 88.9% spread-cover rate this season vs. the Pelicans’ 10.5% win rate tells the story better than a Hollywood script. Take Los Angeles -14.5 (-110) and Jeremiah Fears Over 2.5 threes (-146).

Final Score Prediction: Lakers 128, Pelicans 105. Fears hits 4 threes, LeBron dunks on the Pelicans’ hopes, and Luka… well, Luka just is the game.

Note: This prediction assumes the Pelicans aren’t secretly training dolphins to shoot free throws. No guarantees there. 🏀🔥

Created: Nov. 30, 2025, 4:14 p.m. GMT