Prop Bets: New Orleans Pelicans VS San Antonio Spurs 2025-11-08
San Antonio Spurs vs. New Orleans Pelicans: A Tale of Two Birds (One’s a Pelican, the Other’s a Hooper)
The San Antonio Spurs (6-2) host the New Orleans Pelicans (2-6) in what might as well be a "Birds of a Feather" episode, except one bird (Spurs) is 83.6% to win and the other (Pelicans) is a 20% longshot. Let’s break it down with the precision of a point guard who’s never missed a free throw… in training camp.
The Big Picture
- Spurs are 11.5-point favorites (-110) and have won 4 of 6 games as favorites this season.
- The Pelicans are 14.3% to pull off an upset (implied probability of +500 moneyline).
- The total is set at 224.5 points, with Spurs averaging 228.1 PPG and Pelicans at 110.5.
Why the Spurs Are Favored
San Antonio’s home dominance is as reliable as a Tim Duncan bank shot: they’re 66.7% at home this season. The Pelicans? They’re 0-3 on the road, including a 10-point loss to the Rockets. The Spurs’ defense is also stifling, holding opponents to 107.2 PPG—perfect for keeping the Pelicans’ Zion Williamson-shaped balloon from inflating.
Player Props to Bet on
1. Victor Wembanyama (Spurs): Over 24.5 points (-114)
- The French phenom is averaging 22.5 PPG. Bet he’ll hit this line and then some. If he does, you’ll feel like you’ve won the lottery. If not, you’ll feel like you’ve bet on a pelican to lay an egg.
- Stephon Castle (Spurs): Over 5.5 assists (-125)
- Castle’s dishing out 5.3 APG. Bet he’ll hit the over and maybe even make a highlight-reel no-look pass.
- De’Aaron Fox (Pelicans): Over 14.5 points (-114)
- Fox is averaging 14.5 PPG. This is a toss-up—like betting on a coin flip while blindfolded.
- Trey Murphy III (Pelicans): Over 20.5 points (-118)
- Murphy’s at 20.1 PPG. He’ll need to drop a career game… or the Pelicans will need to trade their socks for sneakers.
The Verdict
The Spurs are a well-oiled machine, while the Pelicans are more of an oil spill. San Antonio wins 118-105, with Wembanyama dropping 26 and 10 boards. Fox and company will try to keep it close, but it’ll be like watching a pelican try to fly through a hurricane.
Final Score Prediction: Spurs 118, Pelicans 105
Why? Because the Pelicans’ “pelican” (defense) is more “leaky bucket” than “clutch performer.” And because Victor Wembanyama’s shot-blocking is as automatic as a New Orleans po’boy.
Bet the Over on total points (224.5) if you fancy a popcorn game. Otherwise, just bet on the Spurs and enjoy the parade of inevitability. 🏀🔥
Created: Nov. 8, 2025, 8:40 p.m. GMT