Prop Bets: New York Giants VS Dallas Cowboys 2025-09-14

Giants vs. Cowboys Prediction: A Comedy of Errors (With a Side of Javonte Williams Dominance)

The Dallas Cowboys, favored at -5.5 to -6.0 (decimal: 1.4–1.37) across most books, are about to make the New York Giants’ defense look like a group of kindergarten students trying to solve a Rubik’s Cube. With the total set at 44.5 points, this game might as well be called “How to Win a Football Game 101” for Dallas.

Key Stats to Know:
- Javonte Williams dominated Week 1 with 77.05% of the Cowboys’ offensive snaps, rushing for 54 yards and 2 TDs on 17 touches. The Giants’ run defense allowed 6.9 YPC last week—second-worst in the league. Translation: Bring popcorn for Williams’ highlight reel.
- CeeDee Lamb, despite dropping passes like hot potatoes in Week 1, still managed 110 yards on 13 targets. He’s averaged >76.5 receiving yards per game over his last three seasons. Bet the prop: Lamb > 9.5 targets (-110).
- Russell Wilson, the Giants’ starter (for now), threw for a pedestrian 168 yards and drew frowns from fans chanting “Jaxson Dart!” His 4.03 YPA vs. the Eagles? More “meh” than “magic.” Prop alert: Wilson < 220.5 passing yards (-110).

Why Dallas Will Win (Probably):
The Cowboys’ defense held the Eagles to 144 passing yards last week, and Wilson’s mobility won’t save NY this time. Plus, Dallas has won 15 of 16 against the Giants at AT&T Stadium. The spread? -5.5 implies a 68.5% implied probability for Dallas. The Giants (-225 underdog line) need a miracle and a Hail Mary that clears the moon.

Dark Horse Props:
- Javonte Williams anytime TD scorer: +250. He’s the only reason you’re not bored during this game.
- Over 44.5 total points: 1.91 odds. With Williams and Dak Prescott (404 yards and 5 TDs in the last Giants-Cowboys home meeting) in the mix? Bet the Over unless you’ve got a death wish.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas 27, NY 13. The Giants will fumble the ball, the run defense will get roasted, and CeeDee Lamb will quietly hit 80+ yards again. It’s a party in Dallas, and the Giants aren’t invited. 🤘

Note: Props and odds as of 9/13/2025. If Jaxson Dart suits up, this analysis becomes “What Did We Used to Think?”

Created: Sept. 13, 2025, 4:05 p.m. GMT