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Prop Bets: New York Jets VS New England Patriots 2025-11-13

Jets vs. Patriots: A Thursday Night Farce Where the Underdogs Might as Well Pack Their Bags

The New England Patriots (-13) are favored to stomp the New York Jets like a deflated Groupon, but let’s not pretend this is a “game.” It’s more of a math problem: How many times can Breece Hall catch the ball before the Jets’ offense realizes they’re not actually in a football game?

Key Stats & Odds:
- Patriots Moneyline: 1.11 (implied probability: ~90% — bookmakers are very confident).
- Jets Moneyline: 6.75-7.4 (implied probability: ~12-15% — “optimistic” is the Jets’ new QB, Justin Fields).
- Total Points: 43.0-43.5 (the Over is 1.91-1.98; the Under is 1.83-2.01 — bet the Under if you enjoy watching a defensive struggle).

Player Props to Waste Your Money On:
1. Breece Hall (-110) to exceed 2.5 receptions:
The Jets’ workhorse RB has 3+ catches in 7 of 9 games. With the Patriots forcing 71 targets on RBs this season, Hall is basically a free +120 bet to out-receive your ex.

1. Stefon Diggs (-110) to average >21.5 yards per catch:
   Diggs’ 11.1 YPC is pedestrian, but the Jets’ secondary is missing Azareye’h Thomas (concussion). If Diggs breaks one 21+ yarder, you’ll feel so smug until you remember the Patriots are still winning by 14.

1. Hunter Henry (+160) to score a touchdown:
   The Patriots’ TE has 4 TDs in 2025, while the Jets have allowed 7 to TEs this season. With Austin Hooper and Kayshon Boutte sidelined, Henry is the only Patriot who can spell “receiving threat” — and he’s doing it with a 6th-most snap count.

1. Mason Taylor (Jets) to exceed 33 receiving yards:
   The rookie TE is averaging 8.2 YPR. With Garrett Wilson and Josh Reynolds out, Taylor’s target share jumps to 18.6%. Bet on him if you enjoy rooting for “meh” to beat “meh-squared.”

1. TreVeyon Henderson (Pats) to dominate the backfield:
   The Patriots’ rookie RB has 277 yards in 3 games with 2 TDs. With Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson out, Henderson is the only Patriot who isn’t injured, suspended, or a former NFL QB.

Final Verdict:
The Patriots are a well-oiled machine (of mediocrity), while the Jets are a car with one working wheel and a GPS set to “anywhere but here.” Bet the Patriots to cover (-13) and throw some extra cash on Hall and Diggs to at least make the Jets’ offense look less embarrassing. And if Tyrod Taylor gets a start? Consider it a free lottery ticket.

“The only thing more certain than the Patriots winning is that the Jets will regret not drafting a quarterback who isn’t named Justin Fields.”

Created: Nov. 13, 2025, 10:40 p.m. GMT