Prop Bets: New York Knicks VS Miami Heat 2025-11-17

Knicks vs. Heat: A Three-Point Prophecy (And a Sprained Ankle)

The New York Knicks, currently missing Jalen Brunson (ankle) and OG Anunoby (hamstring), are somehow favored (-110) on the road against the Miami Heat, who’re also without Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro. It’s like a family reunion for undermanned teams, but the Knicks are the more dysfunctional cousin who still brings the best dessert.

Why the Knicks?
Karl-Anthony Towns, the team’s accidental star, is the reason. Last time these teams met, he dropped 39 points on 6-of-14 from deep, proving he’s now a three-point specialist… in theory. The prop bettors are taking notice: Towns’ 2.5 three-pointers are a -116 favorite. At a 53.7% implied probability, bookmakers are nervously whispering, “Not again, KAT.”

Miami’s 12th-ranked offense vs. New York’s 3rd-ranked defense? Sure, but the Knicks’ offensive rating is 2nd in the league. With Brunson and Anunoby out, it’s Towns’ time to shine—or at least avoid looking like a $30 million mistake. The Heat’s 244.5 total is generous, but with both teams’ depth charts looking like a Netflix list, over is 52.9%. Bet it if you enjoy chaos.

Prop Pick of the Night:
Towns to hit >2.5 threes (-116). Because why not? He’s a 34.8% shooter from deep, but with the pressure of a “star” and a script that screams “Here, hit a few threes!”, this feels like a 50/50 coin flip with a 53.7% price tag. Take the over.

Final Score Prediction (for laughs):
Knicks 122, Heat 118. Towns drops 30, 7-15 FG, 5-10 3PT. Miami’s bench folds like a cheap tent.

Disclaimer: This prediction is not financial advice. It’s just a reminder that the Knicks’ “depth” is a metaphor for “we hope this works.” 🏀🔥

Created: Nov. 17, 2025, 6:48 p.m. GMT