Prop Bets: New York Liberty VS Dallas Wings 2025-07-28
WNBA Showdown: New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings – A Comedy of Errors (With a Side of Points)
The Dallas Wings, a team that’s mastered the art of "defensive sieve," host the New York Liberty in a game that’s basically a math problem: If the Wings rank 10th in defensive rating and the Liberty have Sabrina Ionescu (20.5 PPG at -120) and Jonquel Jones (14.5 PPG at -135), what’s the solution? A Liberty blowout, of course.
The Odds: A Statistical Joke
- Spread: New York -7.5 (-110) / Dallas +7.5 (-110)
- Total: 169.5 (Evens)
- Moneyline: Liberty at -300, Wings at +250 (DraftKings).
Translation: The Liberty are the "answer" to Dallas’ "question."
Why the Liberty Will Win
1. Sabrina Ionescu’s Assist-to-Points Ratio: She’s not just a player; she’s a human highlight reel. Betting her Over 20.5 points (-120) is like betting the sun will rise. She’s also Over 6.5 assists (-115) — think of it as a double threat, or as Ionescu’s Twitter bio: “Points, assists, and side-eye.”
2. Dallas’ Defense: The Wings’ defense is like a sieve made of Jell-O. Opponents shoot 48% against them? That’s not a stat — that’s a challenge issued to the Liberty’s offense.
3. Paige Bueckers’ Prop Dilemma: Dallas’ star is listed at Over 16.5 points (-115). But with the Liberty’s defense (3rd in points allowed), Bueckers might as well be shooting at a brick wall. Bet Under 16.5 and laugh all the way to the bank.
The Verdict
The Liberty (-7.5) will win this like a math test for kindergarteners. Ionescu and Arike Ogunbowale (Over 15.5 PPG at -115) will torch Dallas’ porous defense, while Bueckers’ props crumble like a house of cards.
Final Score Prediction: New York 92, Dallas 78.
Key Props to Cash:
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 20.5 PPG (-120)
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 6.5 Assists (-115)
- Paige Bueckers Under 16.5 PPG (-115)
Dallas, meanwhile, will keep dreaming of a playoff spot while the Liberty keep dreaming of a free DraftKings t-shirt.
Created: July 28, 2025, 5:14 a.m. GMT