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Prop Bets: New York Liberty VS Golden State Valkyries 2025-06-25

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New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries WNBA Prediction: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Few Prop Bets)

The New York Liberty are currently playing like a team that’s lost its star center (Jonquel Jones, out indefinitely) and its starting point guard (Sabrina Ionescu, day-to-day). Meanwhile, the Golden State Valkyries are rolling like a team that’s about to win a lottery, despite sending several players to EuroBasket. Kayla Thornton, the Valkyries’ forward, is on a scoring tear—15.2 PPG with 16+ points in six straight games. She’s the real MVP (Most Valuable Prop), folks.

The Spread: The Valkyries are favored by 9.5 points across most books, but Peter Dewey’s advice? “Take the points with the home team.” Wait, what? The context says Valkyries +8.5 (-110 at DraftKings), but the JSON shows them as -9.5. Let’s assume the user wants us to go with the context’s recommendation and ignore the JSON’s conflicting spread. (Thanks, user, for the fun puzzle!)

Key Stats:
- Kayla Thornton: 14.5-point over/under (FanDuel: -114). She’s scored 16+ in six games—bet her to eclipse this line.
- Breanna Stewart: Double-double prop at 420 (DraftKings). With the Liberty’s defense in shambles, Stewart’s 21.5-point/6.5-rebound line is a lock.
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points/assists over 25.5 (-104 at FanDuel). If she’s healthy, she’s a triple-double machine. If not? Well, let’s hope she’s not the one scoring 19.5 points on 5.5 assists.

Prop Pick of the Night:
Kayla Thornton Over 14.5 Points (-114). She’s been scoring like it’s her job—which it is.

Prediction: The Valkyries’ defense (4th in defensive rating) will suffocate a Liberty team missing its best player. Expect a 85-77 win for Golden State, with Thornton dropping 18 and Stewart securing her double-double. As for Ionescu? Let’s hope she’s not the one taking a 20-point, 5-assist, 3-turnover line.

Final Score Prediction: Golden State Valkyries 85, New York Liberty 77.

Note: If the spread in the JSON is a typo and the real line is +8.5, the Liberty might be a sneaky value. But with Thornton hot and the Liberty’s roster in chaos? Take the points and thank me later. 🏀🔥

Created: June 25, 2025, 5:40 p.m. GMT