Prop Bets: New York Mets VS Chicago Cubs 2026-04-17
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: A Mets Tragedy in Five Acts (With Props!)
The Chicago Cubs (-143) are about to make the New York Mets (-119) look like a team that forgot how to swing a bat. Let’s break this down with the precision of a radar gun and the humor of a dugout full of comedians.
Why the Cubs Will Win (Probably):
- The Mets Are a Comedian’s Dream: Eight straight losses, 12 runs scored in that span? The Mets’ offense is like a broken vending machine—everyone’s got a quarter, but no one’s getting their snack. Their 20th-ranked scoring (65 runs) can’t keep up with the Cubs’ 5th-ranked 94.
- Edward Cabrera, the “I’m Here for the Money” Pitcher: The Cubs’ starter has a 1.62 ERA and 1.14 WHIP this season. That’s not a typo—it’s a declaration of war on the Mets’ struggling lineup.
- Kodai Senga’s Velocity Drop: The Mets’ starter saw his four-seamer dip to 95.6 mph. If Senga’s fastball feels like a slow elevator, the Cubs’ bats will treat it like a free buffet.
Implied Probabilities (Because Math > Feelings):
- Cubs: 58.3% chance to win (from -143 odds).
- Mets: 46.7% chance to win (from +119 odds).
Translation: The Cubs are the favorite, and the Mets are the “favorite” to keep losing.
Prop Bets to Consider (Because Why Not?):
1. Kodai Senga Strikeouts Over 5.5 (+108): Senga’s last start was a disaster (7 ER), but his velocity drop might lead to more hittable pitches—fewer strikeouts. Fade the over.
2. Edward Cabrera Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-130): Cabrera’s got the stuff to dominate a Mets team that’s swinging at anything. Take the under if you want a sure thing.
3. Francisco Lindor Hits Over 0.5 (-245): Lindor’s a star, but the Mets’ lineup is so bad, even he’ll need a 5-tool season to save them. Take the under and laugh.
Final Prediction:
The Cubs win 5-2, with Cabrera cruising through six innings and the Mets’ offense collectively forgetting how to swing. The total runs line (10.5) will be obliterated by the Cubs’ offense alone.
Bonus Prop: Will the Mets’ manager Carlos Mendoza finally throw his headset into the stands? Yes (+200).
Bet accordingly, and may the Cubs’ bats be ever in your favor. 🎲⚾
Created: April 17, 2026, 5:17 a.m. GMT