Prop Bets: New York Mets VS Philadelphia Phillies 2025-09-09
Mets vs. Phillies: A Tale of Two Pitchers and a Home Run Derby
By The Sportswriter Who Still Thinks the Mets Can Win a Game
The Setup:
The New York Mets (-126 on the moneyline, per DraftKings) roll into Philadelphia to face the Phillies with a chance to cut the NL East deficit to three games. But let’s be real: this isn’t about the standings—it’s about watching Nolan McLean, the rookie phenom with a 1.37 ERA, try to outduel Aaron Nola (6.78 ERA, 8.38 ERA since returning from injury). Spoiler: It’s not a pick’em.
Why the Mets Win:
- Nolan McLean (4-0, 1.37 ERA) is a 23-year-old rookie who’s already struck out 32 batters in 26.1 innings. He’s the kind of pitcher who makes you forget the Mets’ offense exists.
- Aaron Nola, meanwhile, has allowed at least four runs in five of his last six starts. His ERA is so high, it’s practically a ZIP code.
- The Mets’ implied total (5.1 runs) is lower than Kyle Schwarber’s home run total this season (49). Yes, Schwarber’s a one-man HR parade.
Prop Bets to Target:
1. Kyle Schwarber O/U 0.5 RBIs (-115): Schwarber has 16 HRs in his last 20 games. Take the Over—he’s scoring runs like it’s his day job.
2. Francisco Lindor O/U 1.5 Hits (-185): Lindor’s hitting .300 in September. The Under is a trap. Take the Over—he’s got 6 hits in his last 3 games.
3. Nolan McLean Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (-144): McLean’s K’d 5.5 batters per start this month. Fade the Over—his control is pristine, not explosive.
The Verdict:
The Mets win 5-3. McLean pitches into the 7th, Nola gets shelled in the 4th, and Schwarber hits a moonshot to left. The Phillies’ bullpen? A mystery that haunts them all game.
Final Score Prediction:
New York Mets 5, Philadelphia Phillies 3
Because even a blind squirrel finds acorns sometimes. 🐿️⚾
Created: Sept. 9, 2025, 4:05 p.m. GMT