Prop Bets: New York Mets VS Philadelphia Phillies 2025-09-10
Phillies to Stomp the Mets, and Maybe Even Stole Their Shoes
The Philadelphia Phillies, fresh off a 7-0 home win in their last game, are favored (-150) to continue their dominance at Citizens Bank Park tonight. Their lefty starter, Cristopher Sánchez (2.60 ERA), faces a Mets lineup that’s been scoring runs like they’re at a buffet—but not tonight. The Mets’ Clay Holmes (3.61 ERA, 4.33 post-All-Star ERA) has been so shaky lately, he’d probably need a second ERA to survive this start.
Why the Phillies Win:
- Home cooking: Philly’s 24-12 at home this season. The Mets? 1-10 as road underdogs.
- Sánchez vs. the Mets: Sánchez has held opponents to 2.3 runs per game this year. Holmes? He’s been hit harder than a rookie’s first pitch.
- Total: The game’s total is set at 7.5 runs. With Philly’s offense (4th in NL in runs over 15 days) and Holmes’ leaky ERA, bet the under.
Prop Bet to Steal:
- Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Total Bases (-140): Harper’s been a beast, and with Holmes on the mound, he’s got a 4-for-4 chance to hit a triple.
Final Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Mets 1. And yes, Holmes will be ejected before the 6th inning.
Note: No actual shoes were stolen in the writing of this prediction. Probably. 🧢⚾
Created: Sept. 10, 2025, 4:40 p.m. GMT