Prop Bets: New York Mets VS San Francisco Giants 2025-07-25
The Mets vs. Giants Showdown: A Tale of Two Pitchers and One Desperate Comeback
The New York Mets (-136 underdogs) are about to face the San Francisco Giants in a game that’s less a baseball match and more of a drama-filled soap opera. Let’s break it down with the precision of a stathead and the humor of a stand-up comedian.
The Pitcher Showdown: Holmes vs. Webb
Clay Holmes, the Mets’ starter, has been a July disaster, serving up a 5.66 ERA. Think of him as the guy who promised to fix your sink but instead flooded your kitchen. Meanwhile, Logan Webb, the Giants’ Cy Young hopeful, is pitching like he’s got a spreadsheet for every pitch. With a 3.08 ERA, Webb’s got the Mets’ hitters as confused as a goldfish in a hurricane.
Implied Probabilities (Moneyline):
- Giants to win: 55.1% (from -136)
- Mets to win: 42.6% (from +215)
Why the Mets Might Survive
The Mets’ offense? A glimmer of hope. Pete Alonso (1.5 HR prop at -195) and Juan Soto (1.5 HR prop at -200) are here to swing for the fences. If they don’t hit doubles (Alonso’s over 0.5 at -210), they’ll probably cry in the dugout. The Giants? They’ve got Rafael Devers (-180 on over 0.5 HR) to keep the Mets’ hopes in check.
Key Props to Bet on (or Laugh at)
- Francisco Lindor (Mets): Over 0.5 doubles at -200. Bet on him like you’d bet your ex will finally clean their room.
- Juan Soto (Mets): Over 0.5 HR at -195. If he doesn’t, the Mets’ offense might as well pack up.
- Logan Webb (Giants): Over 5.5 strikeouts at -145. He’s got the stuff of a magician—except the trick is making batters strike out.
The Verdict
The Giants are favored, but this game is a classic “underdog tries to pull off a miracle” story. The Mets’ best bet? Pray Holmes doesn’t serve up another ERA-worthy performance. And if you’re feeling lucky, take the Over 7.5 runs (1.95-1.87) and root for a slugfest.
Final Prediction: Giants win 5-2, but the Mets’ fans will have a story to tell. And remember, if you lose, Bet365’s bonus code NYPBET might save your day. Or not. Gambling is a gamble. Literally. 🎲⚾
Created: July 25, 2025, 8 p.m. GMT