Prop Bets: New York Mets VS San Francisco Giants 2025-07-26
Giants vs. Mets: A July 26 Showdown Where Props Are the Real Stars
The San Francisco Giants (-117) and New York Mets (+167) clash in a game that’s as much about player props as it is about the final score. With the total set at 7.5 runs, expect fireworks—because both teams have a combined 92% chance of exceeding 47/103 games over this season. Let’s break it down with the precision of a scout who’s seen too many highlight reels.
The Pitcher’s Peril
Robbie Ray (-150 ML) starts for the Giants, but his biggest threat might be the Mets’ lineup. Ray’s strikeout prop (Over 6.5 Ks at +110) is a must-watch. If he fails, look for Pete Alonso (-180) to capitalize on his 0.5 HR prop. David Peterson (+167 ML) for the Mets faces a similar fate: Over 4.5 strikeouts (+100) could be his undoing, especially with Francisco Lindor (-230) likely to rack up hits.
Power Plays
Juan Soto (-175) is a -175 lock to hit a home run, but let’s be real—his 0.5 HR prop is just a formality. Pete Alonso (-180) is also a near-certainty, while Lindor (-230) is so money on the 0.5 hits prop he might as well be a vending machine.
The Prop Picks
- Soto’s HR Over 0.5 (-175): He’s not here to bunt.
- Lindor’s Hits Over 0.5 (-230): He’s got more hits than a meme in a TikTok war.
- Total Game Over 7.5 (-110): With both teams’ lineups heating up, this is a 9-run party waiting to happen.
The Verdict
The Giants’ 55.7% win rate as favorites gives them the edge, but the Mets’ 37.9% underdog success rate whispers of a trap. Either way, this game is a prop-fest. Bet on the chaos, but maybe leave the “Luis Matos Over 1.5 Total Bases” (+700) for the true masochists.
Final Prediction: Giants 5, Mets 4 in 10 innings. But really, the real winner? The bookmakers.
Created: July 26, 2025, 1:55 p.m. GMT