Prop Bets: New York Yankees VS Baltimore Orioles 2025-09-20
Yankees vs. Orioles: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Few Over/Unders)
Date: September 20, 2025 | Time: 7:06 PM ET
The Setup:
The New York Yankees (-198) roll into Baltimore like a snowplow in a hurricane, favored to stomp the Orioles (+164) who, let’s be honest, are about as likely to win as a vegan in a barbecue contest. Carlos Rodón (6.5 K implied, -100) takes the hill for the Bombers, while Dylan Beavers (4.61 ERA, +130) hopes to not become the latest victim of the Yankees’ offense (5.2 R/G, 1.7 HR/G).
Why the Yankees Win:
- Rodón’s Resume: The lefty’s 4.03 ERA and 9 K/9 might not scream “ace,” but the Orioles’ .238 BA (24th in MLB) will make him look like a Cy Young contender.
- Offensive Overload: The Yankees average 5.2 runs per game. Take the OVER 9.0 runs (-105) — Rodón’s 74 career starts with NY have gone OVER 74% of the time.
- Player Props to Cash In On:
- Aaron Judge (-107) to hit 1.5+ total bases. He’s a .300 hitter with 258 HRs; this isn’t his first rodeo.
- Gunnar Henderson (+165) to rack up 0.5+ RBIs. The Oriole’s DH is as reliable as a toaster in a monsoon.
Why the Orioles Might Survive (Spoiler: They Won’t):
- Beavers’ Hope: The rookie’s 4.61 ERA and 8.4 K/9 suggest he’ll face a lineup that’s hit just 180 HRs (12th). But hey, maybe he’ll channel his inner Babe Ruth and no-hitter the Yanks? (Cue the laughter.)
- Underdog Magic: Baltimore’s 30% win rate as underdogs is about as trustworthy as a used car salesman. Still, take the UNDER 9.0 runs (-115) if you really want to bet against logic.
The Verdict:
The Yankees win 7-2, with Judge launching a moonshot and Beavers exiting after 4 innings. Take the Yankees -1.5 run line (-130) and throw in a same-game parlay with Giancarlo Stanton (-120) to hit 0.5+ HRs. For the adventurous, Judge (-159) to hit a triple (he’s done it 1x this season… in 162 games).
Final Score Prediction:
Yankees 7, Orioles 2 — because math.
Disclaimer: This prediction is not financial advice. If you bet on the Orioles, check your local laws and your sanity. 🎲⚾
Created: Sept. 20, 2025, 3:35 p.m. GMT