Prop Bets: New York Yankees VS New York Mets 2025-07-06
"The Yankees-Mets Show: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Lot of Strikeouts)"
The New York Yankees and New York Mets are set for a Subway Series showdown where the only thing louder than the crowd’s groans might be Max Fried’s strikeout chatter. With the Mets looking to sweep after a 12-6 thrashing Saturday, let’s break this down with the precision of a scout who’s definitely never been caught napping during a game.
The Moneyline Math:
The Yankees (-150) are the chalk here, implying a 60% chance to win. The Mets (+290) offer a 25.6% implied probability. If you’re betting on this, it’s like choosing between a reliable Uber and a horse named “Maybe-He-Can-Run.” The Mets, though, have been hot, while the Yankees are 9-12 in their last 21 games—proof that even a .428 winning percentage can feel like a losing proposition when you’re the Bronx Bombers.
Pitcher Props & Power Plays:
Max Fried, the Yankees’ ace, is projected to strike out 5.9 batters, and the model loves the Over on that number (4-star pick). Let’s call it “Fried’s Final Feast” because nothing says “trust your starter” like a guy named Max who’s about to strike out six. Meanwhile, Pete Alonso (+600) is a solid bet to homer against Fried, who’s given up nine dingers this season. If Alonso connects, it’ll be the Mets’ 13th run of the series—and their 13th “We’re not the Phillies” reminder to the NL East.
Player Props Worth Your Buck:
- Aaron Judge is the favorite to go deep at +162. Let’s hope he’s not too busy flexing his “Judge’s Law” aura to hit one.
- Giancarlo Stanton (+370) and Trent Grisham (+850) also have decent odds, but let’s be real: this game’s HR derby is a two-man show.
- The Over 6.5 total runs line (-110) is tempting given Fried’s home-run issues and the Yankees’ leaky bullpen. Bet it if you trust chaos; skip it if you’re risk-averse and into consistent pitching performances.
The Verdict:
The Mets (+1.5 on the run line) are a sneaky play here. Their bullpen is bulletproof, the Yankees are 2G under .500 on the road, and Fried’s ERA might as well be a piñata for opposing hitters. But if you’re feeling nostalgic, throw a few bucks on the Yankees (-150) just to hear the sound of a losing streak continuing.
Final Score Prediction:
New York Mets 8, New York Yankees 4. Because nothing says “sweep” like a game where Fried strikes out six, Alonso homers, and the Yankees’ offense collectively forgets how to swing a bat.
Bet the Over on Fried’s strikeouts. Root for Pete. And maybe check into a team therapy session for the Yankees. 🎩⚾
Created: July 6, 2025, 6:33 p.m. GMT