Prop Bets: New York Yankees VS Toronto Blue Jays 2025-06-30
Yankees vs. Blue Jays: A Tale of Two Pitchers and One Very Confused Odds Board
By The Oracle of the 5th Inning
The Setup:
The New York Yankees (48-35) invade Toronto to face the Blue Jays (45-38) in a clash that’s less “high-stakes drama” and more “Carlos Rodon vs. Max Scherzer’s midlife crisis.” The odds? The Yankees are somehow underdogs (FanDuel: +580 to +650), which is about as shocking as seeing Scherzer strike out fewer than six batters (a prop bet Jimmie Kaylor says is 100% happening).
The Pitcher’s Dilemma:
Carlos Rodon (9-5, 2.92 ERA) takes the mound for NYC, while Max Scherzer (0-0, 5.63 ERA) tries to avoid becoming the first pitcher since 1900 to start a season with a 5.63 ERA. Scherzer’s velocity has dipped to “grandpa jog” levels, and his ERA suggests he’s been pitching in a hurricane. The prop bet on him for strikeouts is a screaming “Under 5.5” — because even the Blue Jays’ bench might have a higher floor than his Ks.
Aaron Judge: The Prop Bet King
Aaron Judge is the star of the undercard, with FanDuel offering insane pricing on his home run prop:
- Over 0.5 HR: +800 (he’s hit 50 HRs this season, so… good luck, FanDuel).
- Over 1.5 HR: +16,000 (??? Is this a bet or a lottery? Someone call the MLB office!).
Also, Judge’s “Over 0.5 Runs Scored” is +300 — because of course he’s either scoring a run or inventing a new sport.
Why the Yankees Should Win (But Probably Won’t):
- Rodon’s ERA is better than Scherzer’s entire career.
- The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last five games vs. LHP (Rodon).
- The Yankees’ lineup could eat a Scherzer changeup for breakfast.
Why the Blue Jays Should Win (But Probably Won’t):
- Scherzer’s name sounds like a playoff contender.
- The Jays have hit 17 HRs in their last 3 games (against the moon, presumably).
The Verdict:
This game is a dumpster fire of contradictions. The Yankees are underdogs with a better starter, the Blue Jays are favorites with a pitcher who looks like he’s playing with a training wheel, and the prop bets are so bonkers they might need their own playoff series.
Final Pick:
Yankees +1.5 (-110) / Under 8.5 Runs (1.51 odds) — Because Scherzer will keep it close, the Jays will waste a great bullpen, and Judge will either hit a HR or make a meme about the +16,000 line. Either way, profit.
Prop Bet Alert:
- Scherzer Under 5.5 Ks (-150): A sure thing.
- Judge Over 0.5 HRs (+800): He’s Judge, not a zombie.
Note: If the 16,000 line on Judge’s HR prop is real, please send me the link. I’ll take the under 1.5 HRs just to spite it. 🎲⚾
Created: July 1, 2025, 1:23 a.m. GMT