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Prop Bets: New York Yankees VS Toronto Blue Jays 2025-07-02

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Yankees vs. Blue Jays: A Statistical Slapfight with a Side of Sarcasm

The New York Yankees (1.76 implied probability to win) and Toronto Blue Jays (2.08) clash in a game where the only thing hotter than the weather is the betting board. Let’s break it down with the precision of a MLB umpire and the humor of a ballpark hotdog vendor.

Key Props to Bet Your Uncle’s Retirement On
1. Aaron Judge (Yankees): Over 0.5 Doubles (-256)
- Implied Probability: 71.9% (because even your grandma knows Judge isn’t a single-hitter).
- Why? Judge’s .312 AVG and 35+ HRs this season? He’s more likely to double than your ex is to text “thinking of you.”

  1. Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Over 0.5 Doubles (-320)
    - Implied Probability: 76.2% (Bichette’s .333 AVG and 12 2Bs in his last 10 games).
    - Why? If Bichette doesn’t double, the sun will set on Toronto’s playoff hopes.

  1. George Springer (Yanks): Over 0.5 Stolen Bases (+280)
    - Implied Probability: 25.9% (or “Why would anyone pay for this?”).
    - Why? Springer’s attempting a steal? That’s like betting a goldfish will solve climate change.

Game Total: 9 Runs (Even Money)
- The game’s Over/Under is 9 runs (1.91 for both). With Jose Berrios (4.32 ERA) vs. Gerrit Cole (3.89 ERA), expect a pitchers’ duel that’ll keep you awake past 1 a.m.

Spread: Yankees -1.5 (-110)
- The Yanks are favored by 1.5 runs, but with DJ LeMahieu’s .220 AVG and Vlad Jr.’s 30 HRs, this could be a “cover the spread or go to therapy” scenario.

Dark Horse Prop: Addison Barger, Yankees: Over 0.5 Runs (+150)
- Barger’s .780 OPS in July? He’s got more RBIs than your neighbor’s bragging about their “record-breaking” tomato garden.

Final Prediction
The Yankees (-1.5) will grind out a 5-4 win behind Judge’s 2 RBI double and Bichette’s 3-run single. Springer will attempt a steal, fail, and the crowd will chant “Why? Why? Why?” for three innings.

Bet: Yankees -1.5 (-110) & Judge Over 0.5 Doubles (-256). Profit. �

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Consult a professional gambler or a therapist, whichever is more affordable.

Created: July 2, 2025, 11:24 a.m. GMT