Prop Bets: Newcastle United VS Marseille 2025-11-25
Marseille vs. Newcastle United: A Clash of European Embarrassments (With a Side of Props)
Date: November 25, 2025 | Time: 8:00 PM GMT | Venue: Stade VĂ©lodrome
The Setup:
Marseille, the kings of domestic inconsistency (third in Ligue 1 but 0-4 in Champions League), host Newcastle United, the Premier League’s most charming underachievers (14th in the table but 3-0-1 in Europe). Marseille’s 12-game losing streak against English clubs? A mere footnote. Newcastle’s away record? A 4-0 win over Union SG is their only solace.
Odds Breakdown (Implied Probabilities):
- Marseille Win: 34.5% (FanDuel: +290 / 2.9)
- Draw: 30.3% (DraftKings: +333 / 3.4)
- Newcastle Win: 40.8% (BetRivers: -238 / 2.45)
Translation: Bookmakers think this game is a coin flip with a side of indecision. The “draw” line is basically a bet that neither team can muster the energy to win.
Why a Draw?
- Marseille’s European form: 1 win in 4 games, including a 3-0 shellacking by Atalanta.
- Newcastle’s away record: 1 win in all competitions (that 4-0 romp over Union SG).
- Experts love “both teams to score” at 3/1 (William Hill). Let’s call it mutual suffering.
Player Props to Bet Against (or Embrace, If You’re Foolish):
1. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Newcastle): -150 to score anytime. At 40% implied odds, he’s the “safe” pick… for a 37-year-old with 1 goal in 10 games this season.
2. Nick Woltemade (Newcastle): +165 to score. A 22-year-old winger with 0 goals in 2025? Bold.
3. Mason Greenwood (Newcastle): -300 to take 6+ shots. At -300, you’re basically paying to bet on a man who’s averaged 2.8 shots per game. Thrilling.
4. Total Goals Over 2.5: -110 (BetRivers). With Marseille’s defense (2.3 xG per game) and Newcastle’s… well, let’s just say “over” is a math problem.
The Verdict:
This is a match for the draw purists. Marseille’s home form in Europe? A 50% win rate in Ligue 1, but they’ve lost to Atalanta and Sporting CP. Newcastle’s “I’ll take the points” attitude in Europe clashes with Marseille’s “we’ll collapse in the 89th minute” tradition.
Final Prediction:
1-1. Aubameyang scores for Newcastle (because why not?), and Woltemade gets an own goal. Both teams will take the points, and we’ll all take a loss.
Betting Angle:
- Draw (+333) with both teams scoring.
- Prop Pick: Aubameyang to score (at -150, because nostalgia is a sucker’s game).
Gambling caveat: This is not financial advice. If you bet on Woltemade, you’re a fool. A charming fool. 🎲⚽
Created: Nov. 25, 2025, 6:25 a.m. GMT