Prop Bets: Notre Dame Fighting Irish VS Miami Hurricanes 2025-08-31

Notre Dame vs. Miami: A Top-10 Showdown Where the Only Thing Hotter Than the Odds Is the Weather

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a Week 1 spectacle where the No. 6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-2 in 2024) roll into Miami as 3-point favorites to face the No. 10 Hurricanes—a team still reeling from losing Cam Ward to the NFL. The over/under is a scorching 50.5 points, and if SportsLine’s model is to be believed, we’re in for a 61-point firework display. Buckle up.

The Moneyline: A Math Problem
Notre Dame’s moneyline odds hover around -120 to -130 (decimal: ~1.70), implying a 58-60% chance to win. Miami’s longshots (+220 to +230, decimal: ~2.20) suggest bookmakers think the Hurricanes have a 33-35% chance to pull off an upset. For context, Miami’s new QB, Carson Beck (SEC Passing King 2023), will be playing for a program that allowed 169.4 yards per game against the pass last season. Not exactly a welcome mat for his highlight reels.

The Spread: A 3-Point “Cushion” for ND?
Notre Dame is laying -2.5 points at most books, with odds around -115 to -118 (implied probability: ~53-54%). Miami’s +2.5 is priced similarly. Given ND’s RB Jeremiyah Love (1,125 yards, 17 TDs in 2024) and their 4th-ranked passing defense, this spread feels like giving a loaded gun to a guy named “Cover the Spread.”

Player Props: A Prop Bet Buffet
- Jordan Faison, Miami WR: Under 30.5 receiving yards (-114). Why? Because Faison’s buried behind Notre Dame’s elite WR corps. Implied probability: 53.3%.
- Carson Beck, Miami QB: Under 239.5 passing yards (-114). With ND’s D allowing just 169.4 passing yards per game? This is not a prop for the bold.
- Jeremiyah Love, ND RB: Over 79.5 rushing yards (-114). Love averaged 6.9 YPC last season. This is the sportsbook’s way of saying, “Bet on the guy who single-handedly carries his team.”

The Verdict: A Fiesta of Fireworks… or a Defensive Slumber?
The over/under is 50.5, but SportsLine’s model craves chaos, projecting 61 total points. If you’re betting the over, bring sunscreen. If you’re betting the under… well, you’re either a masochist or a fan of defensive coordinators.

Final Prediction: Notre Dame wins 34-27, covering the spread by a touchdown. The over hits because Beck’s SEC arm meets its SEC-level ceiling. And yes, Love will rush for 85 yards. Because of course he will.

Now go bet responsibly—or don’t. The promotions are wild. (FanDuel’s giving $300 bonus bets if your first bet wins. What could possibly go wrong?) 🏈🔥

Created: Aug. 31, 2025, 3:27 p.m. GMT