Prop Bets: Novak Djokovic VS Flavio Cobolli 2025-07-09
Humorous Prediction: Novak Djokovic vs. Flavio Cobolli – Wimbledon Quarterfinals
July 9, 2025 | 1:40 PM ET
The Setup:
Novak Djokovic, the six-time Wimbledon champion and a -1100 favorite (implied probability: 91.7%), is essentially the tennis version of a "buzzsaw" according to Sports Illustrated. Flavio Cobolli, the 22nd seed, is the brave little mosquito daring to buzz near the blade. Cobolli’s odds? A laughable 7.5-8.6 to pull off the unthinkable.
Why It’s a Pickle for Cobolli:
- Djokovic has made the Wimbledon final in 6 of his last 6 years. Cobolli? Never beaten him in their career clashes (0-3).
- The spread? Djokovic is -7.5 games. Bookmakers aren’t even giving Cobolli a chance to play for the set; they’re betting on game margins like this is a chess match.
- Totals are 32.5-33.5 games. Given Djokovic’s efficiency, "Over" might as well be a prop for "Will Novak get bored and serve underhand?"
The Expert’s Spin:
CBS Sports’ Jose Onorato thinks Cobolli’s grass-court grit—mixing "pace and angles like a Swiss watch"—could make this closer than the odds suggest. But let’s be real: If Cobolli’s "toughness under pressure" includes surviving a Djokovic serve, consider it a Pyrrhic victory.
Player Props to Consider:
- Cobolli +7.5 Games Handicap (1.74 at BetRivers): A fun, long-shot bet for when Djokovic mysteriously decides to take a 10-minute bathroom break during the third set.
- Under 33.5 Total Games (-110 at MyBookie.ag): With Djokovic’s dominance, this feels like betting the sun will rise tomorrow… but with worse odds.
Final Verdict:
Djokovic will win in straight sets, likely looking like a robot programmed to dismantle grass-court underdogs. But if you must take a flyer on Cobolli, remember: His 11.7% implied probability is about the same as me believing my in-laws won’t judge my life choices.
Prediction: Djokovic wins 6-3, 6-4, 6-3. Cobolli’s valiant effort? A valiant effort. Just not a winning one. 🎾🔥
Created: July 9, 2025, 11:17 a.m. GMT