Prop Bets: Oakland Athletics VS Boston Red Sox 2025-09-17
Prediction: The Boston Red Sox Will Stumble, the Oakland Athletics Will Survive (But Not Without Drama)
The Boston Red Sox (-1.5, 2.22) are favored to win this September 17 clash against the Oakland Athletics, but let’s be real: this game hinges on whether Lucas Giolito can remember how to pitch. The implied probability of Boston covering the spread is 54.3% (based on -110 odds), which feels about right for a team that’s spent 2025 alternating between “mystical offense” and “mystifying defense.” The Athletics (+1.5, 1.69) are a solid underdog bet if you’re into the chaos of a team that’s mastered the art of “scoring just enough runs to avoid embarrassment.”
Key Prop Bets to Watch:
- Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits (-120): Duran’s been a one-trick pony this season (the trick being “hitting the ball hard”), so this feels like a coin flip. Take the over if you trust his .333 BABIP; take the under if you think the Red Sox’s “defense” is a misnomer.
- Trevor Story Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-145): Story’s strikeout rate is so high it could double as a weather forecast. Lay the 5.5 and hope he strikes out twice in the first inning.
- Total Bases Over 9.0 (1.93): With Boston’s offense resembling a sprinkler system (spritzing singles, occasionally spraying dingers), and Oakland’s lineup being a group of guys who’d rather bunt than swing, this total is a toss-up. Take the over if you believe in the power of “clutch” or the under if you’ve seen the A’s play.
Why the Red Sox Will Win (Probably):
Because they’re the Red Sox, and baseball’s oldest tradition is making the underdog look foolish. Giolito’s ERA (4.75) is worse than a broken espresso machine, but he’ll somehow pitch into the 7th inning. The A’s will score 3 runs on a combination of errors and a solo home run from someone whose name starts with “B” and ends with “why am I here?”
Why the A’s Might Pull It Off (Also Possible):
Oakland’s bullpen has the relievers of a team that’s given up 5+ runs in 40% of games this month. If they can hold a 2-run lead in the 9th, they’ll win. If not… well, baseball’s a cruel mistress.
Final Verdict:
Take the Red Sox -1.5, but only after betting on Trevor Story to strike out. This game is a dumpster fire with a batting helmet on. Someone’s going to strike out. Someone’s going to drop a fly ball. And someone’s going to wonder why they’re still watching.
Final Score Prediction: Boston 5, Oakland 4 (in 10 innings, because neither team can do anything on time).
Created: Sept. 17, 2025, 8:34 p.m. GMT