Prop Bets: Oakland Athletics VS Detroit Tigers 2025-06-24

Prediction: "Skubal’s Strikeout Slump and a Boring But Profitable Under 7.5 Runs"

The Detroit Tigers’ ace, Tarik Skubal, is the game’s most overhyped prop bet this week. Yes, he’s a 2024 All-Star, but let’s be real—he’s not a strikeout machine. With a 4.17 xERA (expected ERA) and a career focus on inducing weak contact over strikeouts, the "Over 8.5 Ks" line (-114) is a trap. Fade it. Skubal’s efficiency (6.3 K/9 this season) isn’t worth the price tag.

On the other side, Luis Severino (4.17 xERA) starts for the A’s. He’s not here to dazzle, but his 4.5 K prop (-105) is even dumber. Severino’s strikeout rate? A paltry 5.2 K/9. Bet the Under 4.5 Ks (-120) and laugh all the way to the bank.

The Real Winner? The Under 7.5 Runs (-120).
Both teams rank in the bottom third of MLB in offensive output. Skubal’s career ERA against LHP is 3.23, but the A’s lineup? They’re 29th in wRC+ (.645). Severino’s 4.17 xERA vs. righties (the Tigers hit .238 vs. RHP starters) isn’t inspiring. This game is a snoozer—bet the Under 7.5 runs and enjoy the low-scoring snoozer.

Prop Pick of the Night:
Skubal Under 8.5 Strikeouts (-114). He’s more of a "let’s get out of here quickly" pitcher than a K-machine.

Final Score Prediction: Detroit 3, Oakland 2. A game where "run support" means a two-out RBI single.

Note: If you bet on Skubal to strike out 9+ batters, I hope your coffee is strong. Very strong. ☕⚾

Created: June 24, 2025, 5:20 p.m. GMT