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Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder VS Indiana Pacers 2025-10-23

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Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: A Rebound Battle with a Side of Drama
October 23, 2025 | 7:40 PM ET | Implied Probabilities Calculated

The Indiana Pacers, missing their star point guard Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) and center Myles Turner (traded), are banking on Andrew Nembhard to channel his inner magician. With a 12.5-point over/under prop bet on the line, Nembhard’s 6.5-assist line (-140 to over) feels like a "Pick Me!" moment. Can he replicate his 13.5-point/6.5-assist season averages? Only if the Thunder’s defense isn’t too busy oogling Chet Holmgren’s 7.5-rebound line (-126 to over).

The Thunder, defending champs, are favored (-7.5, -110) but might trip over their own size. Holmgren’s 1.5-block prop (-186 to over) is a joke—literally—given his 1.2 BPG last season. Meanwhile, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 32.5-point line (-112 to over) is a safe bet… unless he’s too busy dodging Isaiah Jackson’s 4.5-rebound prop (-103 to over).

Key Numbers:
- Total Points: 231.5 (Under -107 implied 49.5% chance). The Pacers’ porous defense (-113 defensive rating last season) vs. the Thunder’s elite half-court D? Under it is.
- Prop Alert: Nembhard’s 20.5 PRA line (-120 to over) is a "no-brainer" if he drops 24/8/5. Holmgren’s 27.5 PRA (-105 to over) is a Hail Mary.

Final Prediction: The Thunder win by 8 (covering the spread), but Nembhard’s 18/7 performance (+1.5 points) steals the show.

“This game’s a rebound-fest… and a prop-bet buffet. Bring a fork.” 🏀✨

Created: Oct. 23, 2025, 11:27 a.m. GMT