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Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder VS Portland Trail Blazers 2025-11-30

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The Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers: A One-Sided Comedy of Errors

The Oklahoma City Thunder (19-1) are set to stomp on the Portland Trail Blazers (8-11) like a toddler on a stress ball. With a -12.5-point spread and moneyline odds of -750, the Thunder are so heavily favored that even their warm-up routine makes the Blazers’ coaching staff cry into their coffee. The total is set at 231.5 points, but with the Blazers missing Jrue Holiday, Damian Lillard, and four other starters, this game might as well be a Thunder scrimmage.

Why the Thunder Will Win:
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is coming off 37 points in their last game and is -108 to score over 31.5 points tonight. He’s basically the NBA’s version of a guaranteed bet.
- Chet Holmgren (-122) is projected to grab over 8.5 rebounds, which is about as shocking as snow in December.
- The Blazers are missing their starting point guard entirely, so their best hope, Deni Avdija, is facing a -105 prop to score over 22.5 points. Good luck, Deni—your team’s fate rests on your shoulders like a 300-pound barista’s tip jar.

Why the Blazers Will Lose:
- They’re starting Sidy Cissoko and Toumani Camara, two players whose combined career All-Star appearances total zero. Camara is -110 to score over 12.5 points—a lofty goal for a guy who averages 2.3 PPG.
- Their “center” is Donovan Clingan, who’s -103 to grab over 9.5 rebounds. Let’s be real: Clingan’s main job tonight is to not look directly at the Thunder’s starters, lest they burst into flames.

Implied Probabilities (Because Math Hates Portland):
- Thunder to win: 88.3% (based on -750 moneyline).
- Blazers to win: 15.9% (based on +525). If you’re betting on Portland, you might as well buy a lottery ticket and a vowel.

Player Props to Bet on (Because Why Not?):
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Over 6.5 assists (-108). He’s already dished out 8 in their last win—this is a lock.
- Chet Holmgren: Over 8.5 rebounds (-122). He’s a 7’1” human garbage can.
- Deni Avdija: Under 22.5 points (-105). He’s a nice kid, but even he can’t will a team to 23 points when the starters are on crutches.

Final Score Prediction:
Thunder 122, Blazers 104. The Blazers will shoot like they’re using a 1990s-era browser and turn the ball over more times than a TSA agent at an airport. The over 231.5 (-110) is a safe bet, as the Thunder’s 228.9 PPG and Blazers’ 113.4 PPG average combine to a 242.1—enough to make the total look like a bargain.

Injuries, spreads, and reality all point to one conclusion: Portland’s only chance is to hope Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gets a charley horse. But even then, he’d probably just laugh and keep scoring.

Game tip-off: 6 p.m. ET. Bet responsibly—or don’t. Portland’s got nothing to lose. 🏀🔥

Created: Nov. 30, 2025, 4:13 p.m. GMT