Prop Bets: Philadelphia Phillies VS New York Yankees 2025-07-25

Yankees vs. Phillies: A Slugfest for the Ages (Or at Least a Few Runs)

The New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies collide in a high-stakes clash where both teams are desperate for a series win to keep their playoff hopes alive. But let’s cut to the chase: this game hinges on two things—Will Warren’s ability to not implode and whether Aaron Judge and Kyle Schwarber can keep hitting home runs like they’re auditioning for a Disney movie.

The Pitcher’s Nightmare
The Yankees’ Will Warren enters with a 7.23 ERA this month, a number so惨 it could make a math teacher cry. The Phillies’ Taijuan Walker is slightly less disastrous, but his “bounce-back season” narrative is about as stable as a Jell-O shot on a trampoline. Implied probabilities suggest the Yankees are favored (-150) to win, but with Warren on the mound, “favorite” feels like a euphemism for “hope for rain delay.”

The Power Showdown
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): 37 HRs on the season. The over/under for his HR prop is 0.5 (odds: +370). Let’s just assume he’ll hit a moonshot. It’s in the contract.
- Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 34 HRs. His HR prop is also 0.5 (odds: +370). If Judge and Schwarber don’t go deep, this game might as well be a rainout.

Why This Game Will Explode
The over/under is set at 10 runs, but the Yankees have gone over in 45 of their last 50 games, while the Phillies have done the same in 43 of 51. With Warren and Walker combining for a 9.86 ERA this month, this could be a 15-run fireworks show. Take the over and thank me later.

Prop Bets to Steal (or at Least Consider Stealing)
- Trea Turner (Phillies): 1.5 HR prop at +375. He’s a speedster, not a power hitter, but desperate times…
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): 1.5 HR prop at +235. If he doesn’t go deep, you’re allowed to scream into a pillow.
- Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (-300) is the top play. He’s a base-stealing machine, and “machine” here means “something that occasionally explodes.”

Final Verdict
This game is a 12-11 Yankees win, with Judge hitting a walk-off HR in the 11th. Warren will pitch 2 innings, Walker 3, and the bullpen will resemble a chaotic game of Jenga. Take the Yankees -1.5 run line if you’re feeling brave, but if you want to win, just bet on the over 10 runs. And maybe take a Xanax.

“It’s not a game—it’s a math problem with a batting helmet.” 🧠⚾

Created: July 25, 2025, 3 p.m. GMT