Prop Bets: Philadelphia Union VS Nashville SC 2025-07-05
Nashville SC vs. Philadelphia Union: A Goal-Scoring Jamboree or a Defensive Slumber Party?
The Setup:
Nashville SC (38 points, 3rd Eastern Conference) will host the Philadelphia Union (top-ranked, 13-game unbeaten streak recently snapped) in a clash ofMLS’s most entertaining and resilient teams. Nashville’s got a 9-1-3 streak since April, scoring 2+ goals in six of seven games. Philly’s got a one-point lead on Cincinnati but stumbled 1-0 to Columbus last week—proof that even the best can’t beat a good Columbus Crew day.
The Numbers That Won’t Let You Sleep:
- Sam Surridge (Nashville’s 15-goal machine) is priced at -105 (Bovada) to score anytime. That’s not a prop bet—that’s a certainty with a profit margin.
- Tai Baribo (13 goals) and Hany Mukhtar (Philly’s star) are the next most likely scorers, at +200 (Bovada) and +175 (DraftKings), respectively.
- Nashville’s defense? Not so hot. They’ve conceded 1.25 goals per game, while Philly’s away matches have seen under 2.5 goals in three straight. But hey, stats are for people who aren’t Sam Surridge.
Odds Breakdown:
- Moneyline: Nashville is the clear favorite at +180 to +187, while Philly sits at +385 to +400. The draw? A respectable +365 to +400.
- Spread: Nashville -0.5 (+180 to +190) vs. Philly +0.5 (+190 to +200).
- Totals: Over/Under 2.75 goals (Over: +200 to +202, Under: -202 to -205). Bet the Over if you like excitement; Under if you prefer naps.
Prop Bets to Steal Your Soul (and Bankroll):
1. Sam Surridge to score: At -105 (Bovada), he’s basically a free bet. The man’s scoring like it’s his day job (it is).
2. First goal scorer: Surridge (+350) and Mukhtar (+550) lead the pack. If you’re feeling spicy, try Tai Baribo (+600)—he’s got 13 goals and the heart of a lion.
3. Philly’s injured squad: They’re missing Mikael Uhre, Ian Glavinovich, and Olivier Mbaizo. Bet on Jakob Glesnes (+1,200 Bovada) to score? Sure, why not.
The Verdict:
This game is a pick’em with a scoring explosion waiting to happen. Nashville’s offense is a well-oiled goal machine (Surridge, Baribo, etc.), while Philly’s defense is… questionable on the road. But don’t sleep on the Union’s 13-game unbeaten legacy—they’ll want revenge for their Columbus hangover.
Final Prediction:
Nashville SC 2.5 - 2 Philadelphia Union. Surridge scores, Mukhtar assists, and the Over 2.75 goals line explodes like a piñata. Bet the Over and a Surridge goal—because math, and also because Sam Surridge is literally paid to do this.
Where to Watch: Apple TV+ (because nothing says “sports lover” like paying $5 a month for a stream that buffers at the first penalty kick).
Disclaimer: This prediction is not financial advice. It’s just me, being funny and slightly obsessed with spreadsheets. 📊⚽
Created: July 5, 2025, 7:45 a.m. GMT