Prop Bets: Phoenix Mercury VS Washington Mystics 2025-09-04
Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics: A One-Way Street (With a Side of Alyssa Thomas Magic)
The Phoenix Mercury (-9.5) are about to make the Washington Mystics feel like they’ve accidentally tuned into a Netflix documentary instead of a playoff race. The Mercury, riding a five-game winning streak and hunting the No. 2 seed, are favored at -1000 implied odds (thanks to a 1.21 moneyline price), while the Mystics—owners of a 7-game losing streak and a net rating that could double as a black hole (-12.0 over 10 games)—are about as threatening as a yoga class to a football team.
Why Phoenix?
Alyssa Thomas is the star of this show, and she’s been playing like a WNBA version of The Mule (but with fewer cigars and more triple-doubles). Since the All-Star break, she’s averaging 16.7 PPG, 10.4 RPG, and 8.9 APG while shooting 56.1% from the field. Her last meeting with Washington? A 27-point, 11-rebound, 8-assist masterclass. The key prop here? Over on 32.5 points+rebounds+assists (-114 on FanDuel). Thomas has hit or exceeded that total in 11 games this season—why not add this one to the list?
Why Not Washington?
The Mystics’ offense is slower than a Sunday morning Zoom call (97.6 PPG) and their defense leaks like a sieve. Their only hope is hoping Sonia Citron (cough) stays under 13.5 points (-120 on DraftKings). Spoiler: She’s averaged 11.2 PPG in her last 10 games.
Spread & Total
Take Phoenix -9.5 (-110) and Under 158.5 points (-110). The Mercury’s defense is stingy enough to keep this low-scoring snoozer, and the Mystics’ offense? Let’s just say they’re not here to party.
Final Score Prediction
Phoenix 78, Washington 65. The Mercury win, cover, and Alyssa Thomas dishes out 33 points, 11 rebounds, and 9 assists to make the “over” on her prop bet look like a free triple-double.
In Summary
This game is less of a contest and more of a retirement party for the Mystics’ season. Bet accordingly, and maybe take a moment to thank Alyssa Thomas for making it look fun.
Created: Sept. 4, 2025, 3:27 p.m. GMT