Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates VS Baltimore Orioles 2025-09-09

Orioles vs. Pirates: A September Slumpbuster (or Not)
Date: September 9, 2025 | Time: 6:35 PM ET | Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

The Verdict:
The Baltimore Orioles (-164) are the sensible pick here, but let’s be honest—this game might as well be a retirement party for the Pirates. The Orioles, riding a 5-1 winning streak, have the edge in offense (4.3 R/G vs. Pittsburgh’s 3.6 R/G) and a rotation that’s somehow still functional despite 12 injured players. Kyle Bradish (0-1, 3.60 ERA) starts for Baltimore, while Pittsburgh’s Mike Burrows (2-4, 4.08) looks to avoid becoming the 13th reliever in Pirate history to throw a complete game of incompetence.

Why the Orioles Win:
- Weather: 74°F and sunny—perfect for Gunnar Henderson to launch a moonshot. (Check the prop: Henderson’s -105 on hits/runs/RBIs over 1.5. Bet him.)
- Injury Luck: The Pirates have 6 injured players. That’s one fewer than the Orioles’ 12, which is “healthy” by MLB standards… if “healthy” means “still able to field a team.”
- Burrows’ Burden: Pittsburgh’s starter has allowed 4.08 runs per game. That’s about how many errors the Orioles’ defense will make tonight.

Prop Bets to Steal (or at Least Not Lose):
- Gunnar Henderson: Over 1.5 hits/runs/RBIs (-105). He’s got 57 RBIs already—why stop now?
- Jackson Holliday: Over 1.5 total bases (+200). He’s a .318 hitter in September. September is his month.
- Mike Burrows: Under 4.5 strikeouts (-140). He’s struck out 8.1 batters per 9 IP. That’s… concerning.

The Over/Under: 8.5 runs. Take the Under if you enjoy watching two teams with combined 7.9 R/G try to “clutch it up.”

Final Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Pirates 2. Because even on a off night, the Pirates can’t score more than two runs. Or maybe they’ll score zero. Or maybe they’ll forget how to swing the bat entirely. Let’s go with 2.

Bonus Prop: Oneil Cruz to steal a base (+450). Because why not? It’s September, and the Pirates’ infield is as shaky as a toddler on a tricycle.

Final Thought: This game is a snoozer, but at least the weather’s nice. Bet the Orioles, laugh at the Pirates, and maybe take a nap. You’ll get your money’s worth either way.

Created: Sept. 9, 2025, 4:02 p.m. GMT