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Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates VS San Francisco Giants 2025-07-29

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Pirates vs. Giants: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Desperate Hitter)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants are set to clash on July 30, 2025, in a game that’s less “epic showdown” and more “let’s hope someone scores a run.” Here’s the breakdown, served with a side of sarcasm and a sprinkle of stats:

The Pitching Matchup: Keller vs. Whisenhunt
Mitch Keller, Pittsburgh’s ace, has been a road demon this season, sporting a 2.90 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in eight road starts. He’s held opponents scoreless in the first inning six straight times—a feat that’s either impressive or concerning, depending on whether you’re a batter or a clockmaker. Facing him is Carson Whisenhunt, the Giants’ rookie lefty making his MLB debut. While his changeup has a 49% whiff rate in the minors, the Pirates’ offense (worst in MLB) is so bad at hitting lefties that even a 49% whiff rate feels like a mercy.

The Offense? More Like the “Non-Offense.”
The Giants have scored 5 runs in their last three games, which is about as exciting as a group project in a nap-inducing Zoom meeting. The Pirates? Their lineup is so starved for power that their best hope for a home run is a same-game parlay on Oneil Cruz (-175). Take that bet if you really need a laugh and a small payout.

The Under is Your Friend
With both teams’ offensive woes and two pitchers who’d rather nap than swing a bat, the Under 7.5 (-102) is the way to go. The implied probability? A cozy 51%—because why not bet on the most likely outcome of nothing happening?

Prop Bets to Waste Your Time On
- Oneil Cruz HR Over/Under 0.5 (-175): Bet on the Pirates’ slugger to finally do something. (He’s 8-for-25 in July, so… good luck.)
- Total Bases for the Giants’ lineup: Let’s go with Under 3.5. They’ve got the power of a wet noodle.
- Keller’s Strikeouts: He’s got a 4.5 K line at -110. If he’s lucky, he’ll strike out 5; if he’s unlucky, he’ll strike out 5. Either way, it’s a tie.

Final Verdict
This game is a masterclass in mediocrity. The Pirates’ road dominance (Keller’s 6-0 road record) and the Giants’ offensive drought make for a Under 7.5 lock. And if you’re feeling spicy, throw in Cruz’s HR prop for a parlay. Just don’t say I didn’t warn you when the Giants hit zero.

“Baseball is 90% pitching, 9% batting, and 1% luck. This game has all three in spades.” 🎩⚾

Created: July 29, 2025, 2:03 p.m. GMT