Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates VS Washington Nationals 2025-09-12

Humorous Prediction: "The Nationals and Pirates Battle for the Title of 'Most Annoying to Watch'"

The Washington Nationals (60-86) and Pittsburgh Pirates (64-83) meet in a game that’s as exciting as a spreadsheet audit. Both teams are playoff-relevant? Hardly. But the Nationals, clinging to a 3.5-game wild-card lead, need this more than their rusty bats can handle. The Pirates, meanwhile, are 0-4 in their last four and have the scoring power of a sleep-deprived sloth.

Key Stats & Odds:
- Moneyline: Even money (-110) for both teams. Bet on the underdog? Why not!
- Spread: Pirates -1.5 (-150) vs. Nationals +1.5 (+250). Take the Nationals’ +1.5 and pray for a mercy rule.
- Total Runs: Under 8 (-110) is a lock. These teams combined for 6 runs in their last meeting. The Pirates score 3.6 runs/game; the Nationals? 4.3. Let’s call it a 4-3 Nationals win, with the crowd chanting “WE WANT PITCHING!” in 2026.

Player Props to Target:
- Bryan Reynolds (Pirates): Over 0.5 hits (-185). Reynolds is a .265 hitter; he’ll get at least one hit. Probably.
- Brad Lord (Nationals SP): Under 4.5 strikeouts (+125). Lord’s got 4.5 Ks in his last start. He’ll match it here… by striking out the side twice and then throwing a wild pitch.
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Over 0.5 home runs (+200). Cruz has 20 HRs this year. He’ll go deep… or the Pirates will lose 12-1.

Final Verdict:
The Nationals win 4-3 in 10 innings, with Brad Lord pitching into the 8th and escaping a bases-loaded jam by inducing a double play. The Pirates go 0-for-5 with RISP, and the crowd at Nationals Park chants “WE WANT TRADES!” The only highlight: a 400-foot solo shot by Reynolds that clears the fence… and the Pirates’ hopes for 2025.

Why Trust Me? I calculated the implied probability of the Under (50%) and the Pirates’ chance to win (50%). It’s a 50/50 shot! Literally.

Created: Sept. 12, 2025, 8:08 p.m. GMT