Prop Bets: Port Adelaide Power VS Brisbane Lions 2025-07-05

Brisbane Lions vs. Port Adelaide Power: A Tale of Favorites, Underdogs, and Joe Daniher’s Absence

The Brisbane Lions (10-1-4) host the Port Adelaide Power (10th) in a clash that’s as lopsided on paper as a pie chart after a drunken office party. The Lions are -26.5-point favorites (odds: 1.22 at BetUS, 1.27 at DraftKings), which translates to ~82% implied probability of winning. Port Adelaide? They’re priced at +4.25 (BetUS) and +3.75 (DraftKings), or ~22% implied—about the same chance Chris Fagan has of letting Joe Daniher return from retirement. Spoiler: Daniher’s probably still in Europe, sipping espresso and avoiding footy, per Fagan’s “zero per cent chance” guarantee.

Key Numbers to Know:
- Moneyline: Brisbane is the human version of a “sure thing” (decimal odds: 1.22). Port Adelaide’s 4.25 odds mean you’d need a 425% return on your investment to justify picking them—about the same ROI as a vegan steak.
- Spread: Bet Brisbane at -26.5 (1.87 odds) if you trust a team that’s “nearly 100 per cent sure” it doesn’t have a secret weapon. Back Port Adelaide +26.5 if you enjoy gambling on hope.
- Total: The Over/Under is 169.5 points (1.87 odds). Given Brisbane’s top-two ambitions and Port Adelaide’s “live chance to play finals” urgency, expect a thriller… or a snoozefest. Probably the latter.

Player Props? None listed here, but if you’re feeling lucky, bet on whether Chris Fagan will finally fix the Gabba’s “inconsistent” home performance. Odds not provided, but we’d say it’s +500 (i.e., unlikely).

Prediction: Brisbane wins by enough points to make Port Adelaide’s coach question his life choices. Unless the Power pull off a comeback so dramatic it makes Daniher reconsider retirement (spoiler: he won’t).

Final Score Prediction: Brisbane 112, Port Adelaide 85.

Note: Implied probabilities calculated via decimal odds formula: 1 / decimal odds x 100. No player props were harmed in the making of this prediction. 🏉

Created: July 5, 2025, 12:38 a.m. GMT