Prop Bets: Portland Trail Blazers VS Memphis Grizzlies 2025-12-07
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: A Comedy of Injuries and Prop Bets
The Memphis Grizzlies (10-13) and Portland Trail Blazers (9-14) are set to clash in a game that’s less an NBA matchup and more of a medical convention. Ja Morant, Memphis’ floor general, is listed as doubtful with a right calf strain, while Portland’s Damian Lillard is sidelined with a left Achilles injury. Both teams are so decimated that the Grizzlies are starting Zach Edey, a 7’4” center who’s averaging a double-double (14.5 PPG, 11.2 RPG), and the Blazers are relying on Deni Avdija to carry the load. Let’s break it down with stats, not sentiment.
Key Numbers & Implied Probabilities
- Moneyline: Memphis (-118) vs. Portland (+104).
- Implied win probability: Grizzlies 54.1%, Blazers 49.3%.
- Spread: Grizzlies -1.5 (Memphis -110, Portland -105).
- Total: 233.5 points (Over: -108, Under: -112).
The Grizzlies have won 6 of 8 games as a favorite of 1-3 points this season, while Portland is a dismal 6-9 ATS as a road underdog. With both teams missing stars, expect a low-scoring, grind-it-out affair.
Player Props to Wager on (and Why They’re Hilarious)
1. Zach Edey Over 14.5 Points (-115)
- The human eraser of free-throw attempts (33.3% FT%) is a lock to eclipse this line. Bet with the confidence of someone who’s seen him outscore the entire Blazers’ bench.
- Deni Avdija Triple-Double (+400)
- Avdija’s averaging 25.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 7.5 APG. A triple-double? Sure, why not. The odds imply a 20% chance—which is about the same as your Uncle Steve hitting a three in the third quarter.
- Shaedon Sharpe Over 22.5 Points (-115)
- Sharpe’s scoring like it’s his last meal (22.5 PPG). Bet the over and pretend you’re investing in his future.
- Zach Edey Blocks Rebounds (-130 vs. +102)
- The “Edey Blocks Rebounds” prop is a laughing stock. The line is 1.5 blocks, and he’s averaging 1.2. Still, take the under if you enjoy watching a 7’4” human wall miss layups.
Prediction: A Tale of Two Benchwarmers
With Morant out, the Grizzlies will rely on Edey’s dominance in the paint and the unheralded Cedric Coward (13.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG) to grind out a 105-100 win. Portland’s Deni Avdija will flirt with a triple-double but miss a key free throw in the final minute, sealing the loss.
Final Score Pick: Memphis 105, Portland 100.
Prop Bet: Avdija Triple-Double (+400). Because why not? It’s the NBA—anything’s possible if you’re paying $120/yr for BlazerVision.
Disclaimer: This analysis contains no more inside information than your average TikTok sports analyst. Bet responsibly, or don’t—your call. 🏀
Created: Dec. 7, 2025, 10:36 p.m. GMT